Monmouth vs Manhattan Betting Preview
SportsMemo college basketball content contributor Kyle Kargel gives his Monmouth vs Manhattan prediction in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. At the time of posting, the Hawks have opened as a 5-point road favorite over the road Jaspers, with the total sitting at 140.5 points.
Check out our College Basketball Free Picks page for betting thoughts from some of the country’s top handicappers.
Friday, February 11 | MAAC Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | Monmouth Hawks -5 vs Manhattan Jaspers |
Total: | 140.5 Points |
Game Time: | 7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT |
Arena: | Draddy Gymnasium in Bronx, NY |
TV: | ESPN3 |
Monmouth vs Manhattan Analysis
Monmouth and Manhattan square off in a MAAC which sees the Hawks winning five of their last seven and the Jaspers losing five of their last seven.
As we head down the home stretch of the regular season, both of these team’s conference championship chances are getting worse as MAAC leaders Iona have only lost one conference game and have won eight of their last nine.
The Hawks do have the potential to surprise many in the MAAC Tournament and make the Big Dance that way, but until then they have to build some momentum. The Jaspers don’t plan on going down without a fight so how can they upset Monmouth tonight?
Hawks Great Against the Spread
The Hawks are favored by five points tonight as it stands right now and this is key to keep in mind as Monmouth sports one of the country’s best against the spread records at 16-7.
Opposite of that the Hawks have trouble covering the over in their games as they’ve only done it in 30% of their games. This is probably because of their lackluster shooting in which they rank outside the top 224 in effective field goal percentage, two point shooting and three point shooting.
Where they try to make up for those points is at the free throw line where they shoot 75%, making up for over 22% of their total points per game (14th nationally).
The Hawks rely on their 12th most experienced team nationally to win games but it’s definitely not from their bench where they rank 331st in bench minutes in the country.
Senior trio of Walker Miller, Shavar Reynolds and George Papas lead the team in scoring and will need to be on their A-game to walk out of Manhattan with a win.
Jaspers Rely on Luck and Experience
Where Monmouth struggles to cover the over in games, Manhattan is just the opposite as they rank 2nd nationally at 14-5-1 at covering the over.
That aspect alone makes this matchup highly intriguing as something has to give one way or the other. The Jaspers roster consists of 10 seniors which helps make them the most experienced team in the country.
They know how to get to the free throw line like Monmouth as over 24% of their total points per game come from the stripe, good for 3rd nationally. Jose Perez is the team’s go-to scorer averaging over 19 ppg, shooting over 43% from the field and over 82% from the free throw line.
The Jaspers are also one of the luckiest teams in the country ranking 21st in luck rating according to KenPom.
Monmouth vs Manhattan Prediction
When these two met last the Hawks came away with the win 78-62. Coincidentally enough the over/under for this game currently sits a half point above the final score last game (140.5).
With how good Monmouth is at covering the spread and their inability to cover the over in wins I think the Hawks go into Manhattan and come out covering, although not winning by 16 like last time out.
Prediction: Monmouth -5/Under 140.5
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— Sportsmemo (@sportsmemo) February 10, 2022
Monmouth vs Manhattan Preview from GoldSheet
College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Friday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Monmouth vs Manhattan contest.
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