Texas Southern vs Alcorn State Predictions and Betting Preview
Sportsmemo content contributor Kyle Kargel offers his Texas Southern vs Alcorn State betting preview in the SWAC for Monday, February 28. At the time of posting, the Tigers are a 5.5-point home favorite against the road Braves, with the total sitting at 134 points.
Check out our College Basketball Free Picks page for betting thoughts from some of the country’s top handicappers.
Monday, February 28 | SWAC Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | Texas Southern Tigers -5.5 vs Alcorn State Braves |
Total: | 134 Points |
Game Time: | 8:30pm ET / 5:30pm PT |
Arena: | H&PE Arena in Houston, TX |
TV: | University Streaming Networks |
Texas Southern vs Alcorn State Analysis
The top two teams in the Western Division of the SWAC go at it tonight when Alcorn State travels to Texas Southern to take on a Tigers team who has won nine of their past ten games.
One of the four conference losses by Texas Southern came at the hands of the Braves back on January 15 as Alcorn State won in a nailbiter 73-72. In that game at Alcorn State, Texas Southern was actually a 2.5 point favorite with the over hitting by 14 points.
Overall, the Braves rank in the top 30 nationally in against the spread record going 17-10 so far this season. Texas Southern is 5.5 favorites going into this game, this time in their home gym.
Braves Barely Beat Tigers in Last Game
The Braves played one of the hardest non-conference schedules in the country, suffering losses to bigger and better basketball schools in Gonzaga, Houston, Washington State, Baylor and Oklahoma.
That tough stretch landed them at 1-11 but since then the Braves have been tough to beat going 11-4 in conference play thus far. In conference play the Braves have rolled out the second best offense as far as adjusted offensive efficiency is concerned.
They play at the slowest pace of all SWAC teams and shoot the three the least amount of times per game. Overall, only 24.7% of points come from three which is 329th in the nation.
They rank in the top 65 nationally in percentage of points made up from two point range (55.2%) and from the free throw line (20.1%). The Braves love to utilize their bench ranking 11th in bench minutes nationally as there isn’t a player on the roster averaging over 30 minutes of time played per game.
Their best player is senior Justin Thomas who averages over 10 points, 3 rebounds and just under 4 assists per game shooting over 47% from the field.
The two steals per game he averages helps as well. The last time out against Texas Southern he shot 9-10 from the field while putting up 26 points. He’ll need a game like that again to have a shot at winning this time out as well.
Texas Southern Loves Spreading Ball Around
The Tigers like the Braves played a tough non-conference schedule early on to help set them up for success during conference play. Their list of difficult teams played include Oregon, Saint Mary’s, BYU and Washington State.
That list also includes Florida but they came away with a huge upset against them in convincing fashion 69-54 as 23.5 point underdogs!
They bring in the best defense in the SWAC into this game as during conference play the Tigers have had the best adjusted defensive efficiency of any SWAC team. What’s unique about Texas Southern is that not one player averages double digit scoring per game.
They utilize their bench just like the Braves as 10 of their 12 players average between 14-25 minutes per game. Texas Southern like Alcorn State doesn’t shoot it much from beyond the perimeter so expect a ton of inside scoring in this game.
Texas Southern vs Alcorn State Prediction
If you like old school basketball, this is the game for you as both teams play through the paint and don’t utilize the three point line much.
This game is going to be dependent on one player in my opinion and that’s Thomas who has his huge games like against the Tigers and in their last game against Prairie View A&M where he put up 26 points as well.
He has tendencies to disappear in games though as he didn’t score a single point in 28 minutes against Jackson State in a 61-60 win two games ago.
I think he knows he has to show up here again for the team to have a shot at winning the division and with Texas Southern not having a specific playmaker that can take over a game, I think the Braves do enough to keep it within 5-6 points even if the Tigers come away with a low scoring win.
Prediction: Alcorn State +5.5
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Texas Southern vs Alcorn State GoldSheet Preview
College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Monday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Texas Southern vs Alcorn State contest.
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