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Time is running out to lock in this can't-miss NFL Week 4 MNF MAX BET wager! As a professional handicapper with a proven track record, I'm bringing you my top confidence play for Week 4, and it's backed by data, trends and insider analysis. Grab this play before the line moves and let's secure this bag.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (279) Cincinnati Bengals at (280) Denver Broncos | 8:15pm EDT - Sep 29/2025 |
The PLAY: JK Dobbins OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Seagrave is on a strong 40-32 (56%) run with his posted Free Picks at Sportsmemo since July 12th, 2025
Next Winner HERE:
JK Dobbins OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110):
JK Dobbins has covered this line in 2 of his first 3 games of the season and his yardage has increased each week with 63, 76 and 83 yards. Dobbins is only averaging 13.7 rush attempts per game, but he's been highly efficient with an average of 5.4 yards per carry. RJ Harvey is Dobbins main competition for the workload and Harvey's yards & carries have decreased weekly and he only played 33% of the snaps in Week 3. Dobbins currently ranks 1st in explosive run rate, 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Now Dobbins gets an opportunity to feast on a Cincinnati Bengals defense that has allowed the 6th most rushing yards, 13th most yards per carry and 3rd most rush attempts per game. The Bengals pass defense has also been horrendous, but Bo Nix pass attempts have declined on a weekly basis and he's only averaging 178.3 passing yards per game through the first three weeks of the season. The Broncos are -7.5-point home favorites so Dobbins should see a favorable game script and the books are expecting a full workload with his rush attempts line set at 14.5.
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (279) Cincinnati Bengals at (280) Denver Broncos | 8:15pm EDT - Sep 29/2025 |
The PLAY: JK Dobbins OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
JK Dobbins OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110):
JK Dobbins has covered this line in 2 of his first 3 games of the season and his yardage has increased each week with 63, 76 and 83 yards. Dobbins is only averaging 13.7 rush attempts per game, but he's been highly efficient with an average of 5.4 yards per carry. RJ Harvey is Dobbins main competition for the workload and Harvey's yards & carries have decreased weekly and he only played 33% of the snaps in Week 3. Dobbins currently ranks 1st in explosive run rate, 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Now Dobbins gets an opportunity to feast on a Cincinnati Bengals defense that has allowed the 6th most rushing yards, 13th most yards per carry and 3rd most rush attempts per game. The Bengals pass defense has also been horrendous, but Bo Nix pass attempts have declined on a weekly basis and he's only averaging 178.3 passing yards per game through the first three weeks of the season. The Broncos are -7.5-point home favorites so Dobbins should see a favorable game script and the books are expecting a full workload with his rush attempts line set at 14.5.
Consultant Bio
Steve Seagrave has had a passion for breaking down and analyzing sports for decades and he has consistently picked winners while focusing on steady growth and never chasing losses. He specializes in player and team props in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, and CBB but he is not afraid to utilize a side or total when necessary. Seagrave owned and operated multiple sports-themed pizzerias for over a decade so he knows what it takes to thrive in what can be a brutal industry. In 2020, Seagrave successfully sold the business to chase his dream of becoming a professional sports handicapper. Since then, he has assisted in several profitable seasons with his mentor Andy Lang, written articles for WagerTalk News & the Goldsheet, and co-hosted “Road to Millions”.
Seagrave has been involved in sports and sports gambling for his entire life. As a proud New Englander, he has been an avid fan of all the local teams and was a dedicated fantasy sports player long before it was cool. Seagrave learned the gambling ropes under a bookmaking mentor but eventually decided to go into business for himself by making his own picks. Once player and team props became widely available in sportsbooks, it was a natural fit based on his fantasy sports knowledge and experience.
Since going pro, Seagrave hit the ground running with a profitable MLB season where he picked 56% winners. He has also cashed 66% of his NFL Max Play tickets and 80% of his College Football plays. Seagrave also has a great track record with future plays, going 18-8 (69%) in the NFL, MLB, and NBA during the past two seasons. He has also always had a passion for writing and has contributed countless articles for WagerTalk News and the Goldsheet. This past year, Seagrave was also an integral part in launching Andy Lang's “Road to Millions”, a sports gambling show that focuses on strict bankroll management.
Seagrave utilizes extensive statistical analysis, trends, and game script to track down the winners and he prides himself on honesty and transparency. You can count on well-researched plays with detailed write-ups for selections in the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFB, CBB, and more. Seagrave is thrilled to be part of the Sports Memo team and looks forward to bringing you winners on a consistent basis.