Kansas vs Oklahoma State Prediction and Betting Preview
SportsMemo handicapper JM Sports gives his Kansas vs Oklahoma State prediction in the Big 12 Conference. At the time of posting, the Jayhawks have opened as a 10.5-point home favorite over the road Cowboys, with the total sitting at 143.5 points.
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Monday, February 14 | Big 12 Conference Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | Kansas Jayhawks -10.5 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys |
Total: | 143.5 Points |
Game Time: | 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT |
Arena: | Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, KS |
TV: | ESPN |
Kansas vs Oklahoma State Analysis
Today is filled with some exciting basketball games, all the way down to the final tip-off on this Valentines Day. The Oklahoma State Cowboys look to travel to Kansas to take on the #8 ranked Jayhawks on their home court.
Kansas currently sits in the top-10 in the country, but they also hold the #1 spot in the conference with Oklahoma State currently sitting at #7 in the conference.
Although, Oklahoma State shouldn’t be completely disappointed with a 5-7 record against the conference, they actually have the worst straight up record in the Big 12, sitting at .500 on the year (12-12).
They do find themselves in front of some talent in the conference, including an Iowa State team that is 16-9 on the year, yet all nine of their losses came against Big 12 foes.
Cowboys Facing Top Tier Defenses
Oklahoma State has played one of the most difficult schedules in the country (#7 in strength of schedule), yet they have found themselves in the top-15 in defensive efficiency according to KenPom.
They have limited the FG% for the opposition, especially inside the arc, where they are the 17th best team in the nation defending the two point shot.
They have struggled slightly defending teams that like to shoot from beyond the arc, but overall, they are holding teams to 40% shooting on the year, on top a 40% shooting mark against teams on the road as well.
Oklahoma State is just 2-6 on the road this seasons, and while they have been a four point dog on average, they are also losing the games by almost six PPG, seeing as they have held teams to just 40% shooting but have still found a way to give up over 70 PPG on the road.
Oklahoma State also finds themselves just 2-3 in the last five games overall, but the stretch of talent that they have played since conference play started has been difficult to say the least.
In their last 17 games, 16 of those have been against opponents that rank in KenPom’s top 65 defensive rankings, and they have posted just a 5-11 record, and when the offense struggles, it makes things a lot more difficult for the defense.
This top-tier defense has taken on 14 teams this season that rank in the top-100 offensively, but they are just 4-8 in the last 12 opportunities, they have held these teams below their averages, but it has been difficult for them to show up offensively and defensively in the same game.
Things may be on a different path recently though for Oklahoma State, they rank #57 in bench minutes, giving them the ability to give players a rest and produce another option from the bench, and the team has shot over 48% combined in the last five games.
If they can stay fresh and pull together a quality performance on both sides of the ball, this defense has the opportunity to keep this game close.
Home Sweet Home for Kansas
Kansas finds themselves back in the top-10 even after their only home loss of the season coming against Kentucky. While Kansas has been impressive on both sides of the court, their offense ranks in the top-5 and has propelled them to a multitude of wins on the year, losing just four games all season.
Although, what seems to be the weakness of Kansas is a top-tier defense, and Oklahoma State has that. The Jayhawks are shooting almost 50% on the year as a whole, shooting 49.7% on their home court this season, while connecting on 51.5% of their shots in just the last five games.
In just the last four games overall, Kansas has shot 51.6% or better in all four games, which even includes a loss against Texas when they shot over 58%!
The offense has put up 14.3 more ppg than opponents have allowed on average this season, but their four losses have all come against some of their hardest defensive match-ups.
On the other hand, Kansas may be getting more accustomed to the premier defensive units in the league, seeing as they have played 12 straight games against top-35 defensive units and they have posted a 9-3 record.
Kansas’s four losses this season have come against Dayton (#38 in defensive efficiency), Texas Tech (#3 in defensive efficiency), Kentucky (#12 in defensive efficiency) and Texas (#10 in defensive efficiency) and now they take on a Oklahoma State defense that ranks #14!
Kansas is no stranger to tough talent, as I mentioned before, Oklahoma State has played on of the hardest schedules this season, with only six teams playing a more difficult schedule, but one of those six teams is Kansas, and they have taken care of that schedule with a 20-4 record.
Kansas has put up a good chunk of their points from beyond the arc, which has been one of Oklahoma State’s weaknesses, and Kansas can capitalize on that.
They are also 10-1 on the money line at home in the last two seasons against conference opponents, 14-3 on the money line in February of the last three years, closing the season out on a positive note and they are an astounding 25-1 on the money line when playing their 2nd game in just the last 3 days dating back to 1997.
Kansas vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Kansas is ready to take on another conference opponent on their home court. The Allen Fieldhouse is an arena that produces one of the biggest advantages, in terms of home court, and that has shown in a 12-1 record at home for Kansas.
The Jayhawks definitely hold the head-to-head advantage between these two teams, winning 15 of the 17 games they have played on their home court dating back to 1997, on top of a 29-13 record overall against the Cowboys in the same stretch of time. Kansas has also cashed in on four of the five meetings in the last three seasons and they look to add to that record in Monday’s match-up.
Ochai Agbaji could be a difference maker in this game, with Oklahoma State’s inability to defend the 3PT shot, Agbaji could be set to have a huge game, seeing as he is shooting almost 45% from beyond the arc, ranking him in the top-50 in the nation on over 150 attempts!
This was a toss up for me, I think Kansas is going to win the game, but if Oklahoma State’s defense can step up, this is a big line to cover fro Kansas.
Kansas has shot well recently percentage wise, but the Jayhawks have put up just 72 PPG in their last 5, and now they take on another impressive defense.
Prediction: Under 143.5
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— Sportsmemo (@sportsmemo) February 14, 2022
Kansas vs Oklahoma State Preview from GoldSheet
College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Monday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Kansas vs Oklahoma State contest.
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