San Diego State vs San Jose State Predictions and Betting Preview
Sportsmemo content contributor Kyle Kargel offers his San Diego State vs San Jose State betting preview in the Mountain West Conference for Friday, February 25. At the time of posting, the Aztecs are a 21.5-point home favorite against the road Spartans, with the total sitting at 126.5 points.
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Friday, February 25 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | San Diego State Aztecs -21.5 vs San Jose State Spartans |
Total: | 126.5 Points |
Game Time: | 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT |
Arena: | Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA |
TV: | FOX Sports Networks |
San Diego State vs San Jose State Analysis
These two teams sit in separate parts of the conference standings heading into their matchup on Friday. The Spartans sit dead last in the conference and it’s been that way for a while as they only have one conference win and sit 8-19 overall.
The Aztecs on the other hand are 17-7 as they sit fourth in the Mountain West Conference standings hoping to inch closer to an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. Surprisingly San Jose State holds a better against the spread record of the two at 15-11 which is something to take into consideration when betting this game tonight.
Aztecs Coming Off Tough Loss
The Aztecs are coming off a crushing 58-57 defeat at the hands of Boise State the last time they played on Tuesday.
In the last three games where the Aztecs have been double digit favorites they’re 0-3 against the spread including their ten point win against the Spartans the last time these two met.
They’ve been itching to get back out on the court though and prove themselves which could make for some blowout potential here as San Jose State has really nothing to play for. If the Aztecs are going to cover the massive 21.5 point spread it’s going to be based on their defensive play.
They rank 5th in effective field goal percentage against, 6th in defending the two point shot and 34th in defending the three nationally. These statistics have helped them generate a 2nd overall ranking in adjusted defensive efficiency.
This could spell trouble for the Spartans as they’re ineffective as it is shooting anywhere besides outside the three point line. The Aztecs rank 2nd nationally as well in points per game allowed with 57.1.
Spartans Win First Conference Game
The Spartans lone conference win actually came in their last game against New Mexico where they won convincingly 71-55.
The Lobos aren’t the best team in the world but at least the Spartans are still showing fight in what’s left of the season. After they got that win though there might not be much else to play for as they head to San Diego for this matchup.
As mentioned, they love shooting threes as they rank 61st overall in total three pointers attempted this season. They’re led by junior guard Omari Moore who averages 13 points and over five rebounds and four assists per game shooting over 47% overall from the field.
As a team on defense the Spartans are dreadful ranking 310th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They’re going to have to play much better than normal on defense if they want a chance at covering in this game.
San Diego State vs San Jose State Prediction
With San Diego State back home after two road games I expect them to win this game in convincing fashion as they still have work to do to impress the NCAA committee.
The 21.5 point spread is huge but the Aztecs do have a top 100 home court advantage according to KenPom. I think they do everything they can to cover that spread and win this game against the Spartans in a blowout.
Prediction: San Diego State -21.5
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San Diego State vs San Jose State GoldSheet Preview
College Basketball Stat Sheet
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