Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For June 11
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the MLB in exit velocity on home runs which he’ll need to hit a home run out of Comerica Park in Detroit. Sportsmemo content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Saturday, June 11 with odds provided by FanDuel.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+360)
The Blue Jays scorched the Tigers last night winning 10-1 behind home runs from George Springer, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Bo Bichette.
I expect the offensive explosion to continue today in the form of a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. home run against Tigers starter Bed Brieske who has been terrible this season so far going 0-5 with a 4.93 ERA.
What stands out though are the 12 home runs he’s given up in 42 innings pitched including five in his last two starts. Guerrero Jr. already has four home runs this month after hitting only three all of May which tells us that he and the Blue Jays are finding their groove.
As a team they’re 12-3 in their last 15 games and making their way up the AL East standings. The only negative of this matchup is it’s in Comerica Park, but we all know Guerrero Jr. definitely has the power to smash a home run out.
Other Blue Jays who could hit a home run today include Teoscar Hernandez (+360) and Matt Chapman (+440)
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Hunter Renfroe (+315)
Hunter Renfroe returned from injury last week and blasted a home run Thursday against the Phillies and tonight presents another solid opportunity to hit one against Nationals starter Patrick Corbin. Renfroe is 6-18 in his career against the lefty Corbin with three home runs.
Renfroe has also been a much more effective hitter against lefties this season than righties hitting .302 compared to .235 and has just as many home runs against lefties (5) as he does against righties in less than half the amount of at-bats this season.
Corbin has been atrocious in general this season with a 2-8 record and 6.71 ERA. He’s allowed 13 earned runs in his last 16.2 innings pitched.
Renfroe is listed at +315 to hit a home run but other notable hitters to consider are Willy Adames (+330) and Andrew McCutchen (+370).
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
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