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  • Event: (507) Oklahoma City Thunder at (508) Boston Celtics
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: March 8, 2020 6PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Oklahoma City Thunder 4.0 (-108)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    4%  Take Oklahoma City (#507)

    The Thunder have been a top tier pointspread team this season, but one role stands out in particular – catching points on the highway.  The Thunder have been road underdogs nine times since the calendar turned to 2020.  They are 8-1 (89%) ATS in those games.  Dating back even further, we’re looking at 14-2 ATS in 16 tries as a road dog since the beginning of December; more than three months of consistency in this role.  For the season, on any floor, as an underdog of less than five points, the Thunder are 17-5 ATS, a clear track record worthy of support.

    The Thunder and the Celtics have played one tight game after the next in recent seasons.  The Celtics won by a single point in OKC before the All Star Break.  That was the seventh straight meeting decided by seven points or less between these two squads; not a series where laying points has proven to be a profitable endeavor.

    And Boston is going through some struggles right now.  They’ve lost three out of four, beating only the lowly Cavs in the process. They’re dealing with multiple injury issues – Jaylon Brown won’t play today and Kemba Walker is still on a minutes restriction.  Kemba’s quote doesn’t exactly reek of positivity: “I’m coming in and out of the game pretty fast.  Just gotta keep working through it and trying my hardest not to frustrate myself.”  Even with Gordon Hayward expected to return, expect the Celtics to be hard pressed to win this game at all, let alone winning it by any sort of margin.  Take the Thunder

    Line Parameter: 4% at +4 or higher, 3% at +3.5 or lower

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