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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (476) New Orleans Saints
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: September 13, 2020 4PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

     3% Take Tampa Bay (#475)

    The Saints have truly been an elite team throughout the Sean Payton/Drew Brees era, and they’ve been priced like it in the betting markets.  But Sean Payton is not a fast starter, and his Saints team has been an ATS nightmare for their backers in early season play.  How bad?  How about 0-10 ATS in Weeks 1 and 2 over the last five seasons.  That’s a track record worth fading at every reasonable opportunity.  Bruce Arians’ Bucs won outright in their first two tries as underdogs last year, and the addition of a hungry, motivated Tom Brady isn’t going to hurt.  Expect a battle, not a blowout, with Tampa live to win this game in outright fashion.  Bet this now: based on early line movement, the +4’s may not survive through the summer months.  Take the Bucs.

    Line Parameter: 3% at +4 or higher, 2% at +3.5 or lower