The Indiana Pacers are on the road in Milwaukee playing Game Five of their best-of-seven series with the Pacers holding a 3 to 1 advantage. In the all-time regular season series, the Bucks own the advantage with a 115 to 96 record. Although the Pacers took four of the five meetings this season. Indiana won both previous playoff series and own a 9 to 3 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories, including a five-game series win in the 2000 Eastern Conference first round. But our focus is on the total in Game Five and not on the side. In the postseason, Indiana is second in the league in scoring offense with 116.5 points per game this season. The Pacers are fourth in rebounding with an average of 45.8 boards a night while they are first in assists with 30.8 assists per contest. Indiana is fourteenth in scoring defense, allowing an average of 112 points per game in the playoffs. The Bucks are third in the league in scoring offense with 112 points per game in the postseason. Milwaukee is seventh in rebounding by pulling down forty-three rebounds per game while the team is eighth with 22.8 assists per game. The Bucks are fifteenth in the league in scoring defense allowing 116.5 points per game during this year’s postseason. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 221.8 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +6.06 points against the current total range. The SIM Matrix has the OVER with a 73.97 percent advantage versus the total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has offensive and defensive splits for both teams on the high side of their current season averages. Our Momentum Matrix has both teams trending in an upward trajectory in the total module. With Indiana +3.01 ODS above their season to date average and Milwaukee with a +3.14 ODS above their season to date average coming into tonight’s contest which should send this one well above the posted total. Play OVER on NBA teams facing a division opponent and coming off three straight losses while going Over, 63-35 Over including 44-24 Over as an underdog and 21-9 Over as a home underdog in this situation. We are going to play this one to finish on the high side of the oddsmakers total on Tuesday night in Milwaukee.
BONUS SIDE INFO:
Milwaukee after losing their last three games and going Over they are a perfect 14-0 ATS including 11-0 ATS at home, 11-0 ATS as an underdog and 8-0 ATS as a home underdog in this situation. Bucks get the nod behind a strong set of tech elements.