FINNs NBA WEST GAME 6: CLIPS @ MAVS III - Finn's Top Player Prop: Dereck Lively II Points Scored Over 7.5 (-122)
2% game rating
Venue: American Airlines in Dallas, TX
The starting lineups for Game 6 are a rinse-and-repeat of Game 5 at the Crypt. There will be no dramatic or subtle changes by Coach Lue despite the belief that one or more is necessary.
The Mavericks are at home and will control the tempo and dictate pace and physicality.
The time to have taken advantage of Doncic's injuries, and he has more than one, has come and gone.
The school of thought from our team was to push in on the Mavericks team total surrendering the ability to access what James Harden and Paul George can do to fulfill their part of the game total.
Los Angeles scored 109 points in Game 1 and 116 points in Game 4. The question is not if the Clippers are capable of scoring without Leonard who is out again tonight. It is how motivated the group will be if there is that magical separation in-game score that takes the life out of the team on the brink of elimination.
If it were the Mavericks down 3-games to 2-games this game, the situation and how to attack the game would be much different.
The deeper Clippers, even behind by double-digits, even 20-plus points, have the reserves to score and those reserves are defensively inept.
With or without a lead late in the third period the Mavericks bigs are going to be sharing the court and if this game plays out to the likelihood I believe it can and will Lively will score closer to 20 points than 10 and either one puts him comfortably over his 7.5 prop line.
Dereck Lively II Points Over 7.5 (-122)