Fade the False Favorite and cash in with Teddy’s Saturday Night Shocker, backing a live underdog in a game they’re primed to win in outright fashion…or at least come pretty darn close! Teddy is 100% perfect in college hoops action this week, primed to deliver the goods right here, right now! Get onboard!
Member Notes
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (567) Houston Rockets at (568) Miami Heat: Spread | 3:40pm EST - Feb 28/2026 |
The PLAY: Miami Heat +2.5 (-118)
Take Miami (#568)
Miami has the single best pointspread record in the NBA coming off a loss: 20-8 ATS in 28 previous tries; and they’re coming off back-2-back losses at Philly and Milwaukee in their last two games. The last time Miami lost and failed to cover in three straight games came in December; weeks before Christmas, not something Eric Spoelstra’s team does very often. There’s urgency RIGHT NOW for the Heat, as veteran leader Tyler Herro’s quote indicates: “We've got to lock in and decide what we want to be….. We have to come with it at some point”
Eme Udoka’s Rockets squad started the season 15-5 SU/14-6 ATS in their first 20 games, pushing their power rating number through the roof. Since December 6th, however, the Rockets are a modest 21-16 SU, and a disastrous 12-25 ATS, burning their backers $$ in every role. Kevin Durant was accused of making derogatory social media posts from burner accounts about his teammates over the All Star Break. Houston is 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs Miami, 2-8 ATS in their last ten. Expect more of the same on Saturday. Take the Heat.
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades. And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.