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Member Notes
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NHL | (21) Florida Panthers at (22) Boston Bruins | 7:37pm EDT - Oct 21/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Over 5.5 (-120)
This is a FREE PLAY on the Panthers/Bruins OVER.
As primarily a situational capper, I love the way this Atlantic Division battle between the Florida Panthers and the Boston Bruins sets up to be more of a high-scoring shootout, rather than grind-it-out defensive battle for a few different key situational reasons.
Florida enters 3-4, while Boston is 3-4 as well.
The Panthers are 0-4 on the road, while the Bruins are 2-1 at home.
Florida has lost four in a row and this is the finale of its first five-game road trip, before four difficult home games.
Clearly, the defending champs are going to be motivated to avoid going 0-5 on their first road trip of the season.
Boston however enters equally motivated, as it also won its first three home games, before then going 0-4 on its most recent road trip, which includes a tight 3-2 loss at Utah last time out.
I actually had Boston on the puckline in that one, as it was only -125.
Typically I wouldn't bet against the defending champs to lose a fifth straight game, no matter what the sport was, but Boston enters equally as desperate, and it enjoys a significant home-ice advantage, as evidenced by its 3-0 start so far this season.
Between two teams struggling with scoring, but desperate for a break-out performance, something has to finally "give" on Tuesday night, and in my opinion there will be a plethora of scoring.
These teams do have great goaltending and defense for the most part, but clearly its been inconsistency on the offensive end that each side has had difficulty with.
But with these desperate and hungry teams pushing the pace from start to finish like I'm expecting, I think they'll eclipse the posted number sometime in the second period.
Being primarily a "situational" capper, the actual players on the ice become a less important part of the equation for me (or in any sport for that matter). Unless of course it's a star player like Connor McDavid that's out, or a last second change to a starting goaltender for some reason.
But, for the most part, a players absence from the line-up is reflected in the line, and that, along with what I perceive be great "situations," are what I'm looking at each day when I'm going over the daily boards and making my selections.
Despite who gets the start in net for either side, and despite what their offensive numbers say to this point, I think there are so many external factors pointing to these offenses FINALLY getting off the schneid and finding the back of the net, the OVER becomes the correct call as far as the total is concerned.
Good luck, NP
Consultant Bio
Veteran handicapper Nick Parsons has been involved in the industry both as one of the World's leading sports prognosticating experts (in every major sport over the course of the last 20 years!), and he's also worked behind the scenes with some of the biggest companies and players in the market as well.
A "contrarian" at heart, Nick has always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid, and long term. Parsons doesn't limit himself to any sort of bet, or style of wagering. If he sees value in a pick, whether it's an underdog or a favorite, then he plays it. His succinct and no "B.S." approach, while also always being fully accountable, is what his growing list of satisfied clients has grown to appreciate the most.
Nick's been in the trenches fighting the books every single day for the last 20 years. He's never once pretended that any part of this industry is "easy." It's not. But you can put his invaluable experience to work for you, as 2023 and 2024 have massive potential for this industry icon!