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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (505) New York Knicks at (506) Orlando Magic | 5:30pm EST - Dec 13/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Over 223.5 (-110)
(505) New York Knicks at (506) Orlando Magic
Total Over 223.5 (-110)
5:30 PM EST. This is a very comfortable spot for both teams as its cushioned between rest on both sides. That’s a great thing for offense. Wednesday’s NBA Cup Quarterfinals saw plenty of points, well, besides the Suns (awful), but I don’t buy that these games bring more defense and more nerves. If anything the pre-holidays-NBA is a very free and loose version of the product, with far more offense in general. That’s especially true now that we’re two months into the season. The Magic are at home for this battle and they run at one of the quickest tempos in the NBA. The Knicks have been and remain one of the most potent and productive offenses in the association. We love that combination. Two out of three prior matchups soared over this number.
Consultant Bio
Five years ago, right before COVID hit and forced everyone to work from home, I decided to create more content in the sports betting space. After nearly two decades of working in the federal government, I was satisfied with my security but dulled by the lack of passion I had in my 9-5 job, so I was always seeking something more. It occurred to me that, more than any other hobby, I was invested in reading/learning and consuming everything I could about sports and sports betting. Even when I was a little boy, my father brought home “pick-em sheets” for every NFL week, and I tried my hand on several occasions. I remember beating his coworkers more than once.
And even though I had been a winning bettor on my own, I never shared my style or advice. I started writing for a great site called TheOddsBreakers, which broke me onto the public scene and help earn respect from my peers (I hit 58%, 207-152 in my inaugural season as an NBA handicapper).
Then I entered the Circa Millions contest for the first time with only one entry and won 5th place overall in the 2021 NFL season (61-28-1, 68%).
Since then, I’ve written for dozens of sports betting publications and served in myriad roles with sports companies such as The33rdTeam, BetUS, and SportsWagers.ca. I also won in Circa Millions again, achieving 1st place in last year’s third quarter contest ($150k). I have my own podcast, Laying the Points with FarleyBets, which I will resume in the 2025 NFL season. All of my records and plays have been shared transparently, where I’ve accrued 113 units in the NFL and 100 units in the NBA over four seasons, and I continue to contribute my betting thoughts/picks on Substack.
