Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction – NCAAB Betting Preview
Sportsmemo college basketball analyst Kyle Kargel gives his Nevada vs San Diego State predictions. The Mountain West Conference bout tips off at 11:00pm ET from the Viejas Arena in San Diego. These two teams have combined to go 26-6 so far this season heading in to tonight’s game.
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Nevada vs San Diego State NCAAB Betting Odds
Tuesday, January 10 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | Nevada Wolfpack +9.5 vs San Diego State Aztecs |
Total: | 137.5 Points |
Game Time: | 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT |
Arena: | Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA (Odds Above by DraftKings) |
TV: | CBS Sports Network |
Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction : The Betting Analysis
We’re treated to a Mountain West Conference showdown tonight as San Diego State welcomes in Nevada who are the last two unbeaten teams in conference play.
Although the Aztecs are 12-3, they’re only 4-9-1 against the spread and are favored by a large 9.5-point spread to beat Nevada tonight.
The Wolfpack are 14-3 and an astounding 11-4-1 against the spread holding opponents under 70 points in five of their past six games, all wins.
This will without a doubt be Nevada’s toughest task so far aside from losing to Oregon 78-65 in which they were listed as 8.5-point underdogs. Can the Wolfpack do enough tonight to keep the score within single digits? Let’s dive in.
San Diego State Proves Toughness
San Diego State has played a tough schedule thus far going 1-3 against top 15 ranked teams according to KenPom.
They rank 20th in the nation in Division I experience and 56th in bench minutes. In fact, nine different Aztec players have played in at least 14 games while averaging at least 15 minutes played per game.
They’re led by senior Matt Bradly averaging 12.3 points per game but has averaged over 22 points per game over the team’s last three games including going 13-21 from three point range.
Their team defense is what has gotten San Diego State to this point ranking 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 73rd at defending the three point shot, but they do allow opponents to fire 3pt attempts at a top 70 clip in the nation.
The Aztecs will force the Wolfpack to work for their shots ranking 322nd in average opponent possession length and 23rd in steal percentage on defense. Five different San Diego State players average between 0.8-1.9 steals per game.
Nevada Not Shy Shooting Three Pointers
The Wolfpack will have to be sure the 3pt shot attempts they get up for this one are quality attempts. They love to shoot them deep ranking in the top 80 nationally in 3pt attempts per game.
This team has gone 15-45 shooting from beyond the arch in the team’s last two games. The team’s leading scorer Jarod Lucas has cooled off as of late only hitting his average of 17 points per game in three of the team’s last four games played.
They’ve gotten away with his lack of production the past couple games but he’ll need to show up big tonight if the Wolfpack have any shot of winning.
If and that’s a big IF the Wolfpack keep it close, they rank top 10 nationally in free throw shooting percentage and they’re 6th in the nation in percentage of points that come from the free throw line.
Junior 7’0 center Will Baker keeps things at-bay for Nevada inside leading a defensive charge in which the Wolfpack rank 45th in 2pt field goal percentage allowed so, San Diego State will be forced to put their 3pt shooting attack to the test in this Mountain West clash.
Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction – Ultimate Pick!
The spread is just too large for me to run with the Aztecs especially with them only being 4-9-1 against the spread this season. They’re 2-7 agains the spread in the last nine they were favorites in.
I don’t think Nevada wins this game but I think they have enough to keep this game within single digits. San Diego State has had a very tough schedule but this will be the toughest game they’ve played in since losing to Saint Mary’s a month ago. Take Nevada plus the points in this conference clash.
Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction: Nevada Wolfpack +9.5
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Happy Hour Tip-Off Show
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The Happy Hour Tip-Off Show will broadcast Monday through Friday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT. Pull up a barstool and join us as we break down tonight’s college basketball card, including possibly this Nevada vs San Diego State clash, from a sports betting perspective.
College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Tuesday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Nevada vs San Diego State contest.
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Track the college basketball point spreads, moneylines, first half lines and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s college basketball games, including this Nevada vs San Diego State showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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