Northern Colorado vs Weber State Expert Betting Advice
Sportsmemo college basketball analyst Kyle Kargel gives his Northern Colorado vs Weber State college basketball prediction with Weber State surging up the standings after winning four of their past five. The Bears are 7-16 and a dismal 2-9 in Big Sky play heading into tonight’s matchup.
This Big Sky Conference bout tips off at 11:00pm ET from the McCarthey Athletic Center in Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO.
Weber State is third in the Big Sky Conference as Northern Colorado starts a stretch playing five home games in their next seven overall.
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Northern Colorado vs Weber State: Betting Odds
Monday, February 6 | Big Sky Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | Northern Colorado +1 vs Weber State |
Total: | 141.5 Points |
Game Time: | 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT |
Arena: | Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO (Odds Above by DraftKings) |
TV: | ESPNU |
Northern Colorado vs Weber State Betting Analysis
Weber State currently sits third in the Big Sky as they head to Greeley, CO to take on Northern Colorado who has seen more success in season’s past.
They’ve only won twice outright in their last 13 games including a 81-72 loss at Weber State back on Dec 29th.
In that game the Wildcats were 3.5 favorites as they sit 10-11 against the spread on the season which isn’t as bad as the Bears 8-14 ATS mark so far this season.
Five of the last seven Northern Colorado games have come on the road so they’ll be happy to be back home for a 3-game stretch. The Wildcats are current 1-point road favorites heading in.
Bears Breaking Down on Offense
Northern Colorado has been just plain bad on both sides of the ball, especially in conference play. They’re dead last in Big Sky play in adjusted offensive efficiency and second to last in adjusted defensive efficiency.
They do like to play at a fast pace though ranking 2nd in the conference in adjusted tempo. Just like last season, much of their scoring comes from outside the 3pt line ranking 68th nationally in 3pt field goal percentage and 48th in percentage of points coming from outside the arch at 36.1%.
When it comes to conference play, they do a decent job at limiting the opposition from scoring deep ranking 3rd in the Big Sky in 3pt field goal percentage allowed.
Senior Dalton Knecht leads this team scoring 20.1 ppg which is 24th nationally while adding seven rebounds per game as well although he’s failed to reach both of these marks their past two games. He’ll need an impressive showing if the Bears want any chance of coming away with a win tonight.
Jones Doing Damage For Wildcats
We mentioned the Bears have the worst adjusted offensive efficiency in the Big Sky. Well the Wildcats are second to last in that category in conference play and in addition are the worst team at turning the ball over on offense and have the second to last worst offensive rebounding percentage.
They make up for it with their defense though ranking second in the conference in adjusted defensive efficiency.
They love to slow the opposition down with an adjusted tempo ranking 284th and average possession length by the opposition coming in at 317th. With how bad they are at grabbing offensive rebounds they’re even better at not allowing the opposition to bring them down ranking 3rd nationally.
This will be problematic for a Northern Colorado team that struggles on offense overall. Sophomore forward Dillon Jones leads the charge for Weber State scoring 15.5 ppg and hauling in 10.9 rebounds per game which is 10th in the nation.
He’s scored over 15.5 points in his last five games and will look to do it again tonight against a Northern Colorado team that only averages 41% shooting at home and 33% from the 3pt line.
Northern Colorado vs Weber State Expert Prediction
I’ll gladly take the under on this game as we have a Northern Colorado team that’s offensively inept at this time and a defensively minded Weber State team that likes to slow the ball down and limit second possessions by the opposition.
The Bears know if they want any shot at winning this home game, their defense must be the cause. I’m thinking a 68-64 win for Weber State though.
Prediction: Under 141.5 Points Scored
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