New Mexico vs Nevada Expert Betting Advice
Sportsmemo college basketball analyst Kyle Kargel gives his New Mexico vs Nevada college basketball prediction with New Mexico losing two of their last three games.
The Lobos and Wolfpack played a remarkable game two weeks ago with Nevada coming away with a 97-94 double overtime win in Reno.
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New Mexico vs Nevada: Betting Odds
| Tuesday, February 7 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Point Spread: | New Mexico Lobos -4 vs Nevada Wolfpack |
| Total: | 150 Points |
| Game Time: | 10:30pm ET / 7:30pm PT |
| Arena: | The Pit in Albuquerque, NM (Odds Above by DraftKings) |
| TV: | FS1 |
New Mexico vs Nevada Betting Analysis
It was only a short while ago that New Mexico stood 13-0 heading into Mountain West Conference play but have gone just 6-4 in conference play sitting fifth overall in the standings.
Nevada sits 8-3 in conference play losing all three of those games on the road, which is where they’ll be tonight playing at The Pit in Albuquerque.
New Mexico’s soft non-conference schedule perhaps may be catching up to them as they head in as 4-point home favorites tonight.
New Mexico Needs Fast Pace
In Mountain West Conference play New Mexico plays at the fastest tempo of anyone in the conference but it has costed them at times.
They rank dead last in 2pt field goal percentage allowed and blocks on defense. They’re 2nd in conference play in 3pt field goal percentage but are dead last in attempts per game.
In their 84-73 road loss to Utah State, the Lobos only shot 11 three point shots and we’re trailing all game.
The revenge factor will be in play here as these two teams just met two weeks ago with Nevada winning in double overtime. In that game Jamal Mashburn Jr. scored 33 points with Jaelen House adding 17 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds.
They only forced nine turnovers though while committing 19 themselves which was the difference maker in that game as the Wolfpack attempted 12 more shots than the Lobos. Also, The Pit is rated as the 7th best home court advantage of any area in college basketball.
Baker Broke Lobos in Last Meeting
Nevada has relied on their balanced play to get them to this point ranking top 3 in conference play in offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency.
It’s fitting they only committed nine turnovers in that game against New Mexico as they’re 1st in the conference in turnovers committed and 25th nationally at taking care of the ball as well.
They limit offensive rebounds and are 4th nationally in free throw shooting percentage at 79%. Junior Will Baker took advantage of the thin New Mexico interior last time these two played racking up 28 points which is a season high for the big man.
Nevada has been playing up tempo slightly more in conference play with an adjusted tempo that sits in the middle of the pack but on the season Nevada is 248th in adjusted tempo.
New Mexico vs Nevada Expert Prediction
Before overtime in their last meeting this game was tied 78-78 and with the total listed at 147 I see this total going up and over once again. Both of these teams have hit the over in their respective games 60% of the time this season.
Nevada’s free throw shooting will keep them in this game if it’s close but the environment of The Pit keeps me from taking Nevada. Expect another shoot out of some sort with New Mexico winning 80-77.
Prediction: Over 150
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