Marlins vs Cubs Betting Pick: The Preview
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly offers his analysis of Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays clash at Citizens Bank Park. Despite now losing 5-straight the Phillies are still up 2.5 games in the NL Wildcard. Toronto seemingly has their AL Wildcard spot locked up with a 7.5 game lead.
Wednesday, September 21 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Philadelphia Phillies -110 vs Toronto Blue Jays -100 |
Runline: | Phillies -1.5 (+180) / Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) |
Total: | 8 Runs (Over -120 / Under +100) |
Game Time: | 6:45pm ET / 3:45pm PT |
Where: | Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA |
Weather: | 80 Degrees / Clear |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Analysis
On Wednesday night, the Blue Jays and the Phillies face off for the fourth and final time this season. The Blue Jays won last night 18-11 in a high-powered game that was full of hits.
The Blue Jays lead the season series 3-0 over the Phillies. For this matchup, the Phillies are -115 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 8 runs.
Gausman Needs To Get It Done
The Blue Jays are heating up and now is the time to do so. Toronto will probably not catch the Yankees in the AL East, but they are looking at locking in a Wild Card spot.
The Blue Jays are 3-2 in their last five games, they are 84-64 on the season, and they are 41-32 on the road this year. Toronto is 16-6 on the run line as an underdog this year.
Kevin Gausman will take the mound for Toronto tonight in Philly. On the season, Gausman is 12-10 with a 3.45 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a 2.41 FIP. In his last road start, Gausman allowed five runs on eight hits and only pitched 5.1 innings in a game Toronto ended up winning.
On the road this season, Gausman has a 2.45 ERA, a .245 batting average against, a .339 slugging percentage against, a 1.94 FIP, and a 1.08 WHIP. Toronto is 10-4 straight up in Gausman’s 14 road starts this season.
Phillies Can Still Lose Wildcard Bid
The Phillies have picked the wrong time to go ice cold. The Phillies are in the midst of a five-game losing streak and they need all the wins they can get to make the playoffs this season.
They are just 2.5 games above the Brewers for the last NL Wild Card spot and they need to start stringing together wins. The Phillies are 80-67 on the season, they are 44-32 at home, and they are 44-55 covering the run line as a favorite.
Zack Wheeler will take the mound for the Phillies tonight at home. On the season, Wheeler is 11-7 with a 3.07 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a 2.97 FIP. Wheeler faced the Blue Jays in Toronto and allowed six runs on seven hits in 4.2 innings of work in a loss.
At home this season, Wheeler has been electric. He has a 1.95 ERA, a .191 batting average against, a .298 slugging percentage against, a 2.69 FIP, and a .91 WHIP. The Phillies are 6-6 in Wheeler’s road starts this season.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction
I expect tonight to be a great game between these two teams. Both of these pitchers are hot, and both of these lineups are hot, so it can go either way.
I backed Toronto last night, and I am doing it again tonight. They are the better team and they should pull out a much needed win.
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -100
Interested in placing a bet on Wednesday’s Phillies vs Blue Jays Interleague showdown? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Wednesday, September 21
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
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