Phillies vs Blue Jays Betting Pick: The Preview
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly offers his analysis of Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays clash at Citizens Bank Park. If the season ended today, both the Phillies and Blue Jays would be wildcard teams in their respective leagues.
Tuesday, September 20 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Philadelphia Phillies +112 vs Toronto Blue Jays -125 |
Runline: | Phillies +1.5 (-160) / Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) |
Total: | 8.5 Runs (Over -120 / Under +100) |
Game Time: | 6:45pm ET / 3:45pm PT |
Where: | Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA |
Weather: | 75 Degrees / Clear |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Analysis
On Tuesday night, the Blue Jays and the Phillies meet for one of the most important two-game series in the MLB this season. Both of these teams need wins now in order to lock in a playoff spot.
Toronto is coming off a 2-1 series win against the Orioles, and the Phillies are coming off being swept by the Braves in Atlanta. The Blue Jays lead the season series over the Phillies 2-0 this season. For this matchup, the Blue Jays are -120 road favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 8.5 runs.
Stripling Slinging It For Blue Jays
Toronto is 5.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, and while they do have a chance to catch them, it’s unlikely. The Blue Jays hold the No. 1 Wild Card spot in the AL, but the Rays are right on their backs and Toronto holds just a five-game lead.
On the road this season, the Blue Jays are 40-32 and they are just 48-77 covering the run line as a favorite this season.
Ross Stripling will make the start for the Blue Jays tonight in Philly. In 21 starts this season, Stripling has a 2.94 ERA, a 3.15 FIP, and a .99 WHIP. In his last two starts, Stripling has allowed three runs on six hits in 12.1 innings of work.
Stripling has put together an amazing season and he has been slightly more reliable on the road. In 56 road innings this year, Stripling has a 3.21 ERA, a .319 slugging percentage against, a .213 batting average against, a 2.71 FIP, and a .96 WHIP.
The Blue Jays are 4-1 straight up in Stripling’s last four road starts, but they are just 2-3 covering the run line in those games.
Gibson Gets Start For Philadelphia
The Phillies are on a four-game losing streak, and now is not the time to pile up losses. The Brewers are just 2.5 games behind the Phillies for the final Wild Card spot in the NL, so every single game is crucial. The Phillies are 44-31 at home this season and they are 29-18 covering the run line as an underdog.
Kyle Gibson will take the mound for the Phillies tonight at home. On the season, Gibson is 10-6 with a 4.45 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a 4.20 FIP. In his last start, Gibson allowed one run on six hits in six innings in a win.
Gibson has had an up-and-down season, but he has been better pitching at home all year. In 92 innings at home, Gibson has a 3.90 ERA, a .246 batting average against, a 4.44 FIP, and a 1.18 WHIP. The Phillies are 2-3 straight up in his last five road starts this season.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction
Both of these teams need wins badly. The Phillies are struggling right now, so I have to ride with the hot team with the better pitcher. Stripling was born in PA, so I expect him to want to put on a show tonight.
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -125
Interested in placing a bet on Tuesday’s Phillies vs Blue Jays Interleague showdown? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Tuesday, September 20
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