Mets at Brewers Betting Pick: The Preview
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly offers his analysis of Tuesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers clash at American Family Field. The Brewers only sit 2.5 games ahead for the final NL Wildcard spot. The Mets have clinched a playoff spot but only lead the NL East by one game.
Tuesday, September 20 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | New York Mets -115 at Milwaukee Brewers +105 |
Runline: | Mets -1.5 (+140) / Brewers +1.5 (-160) |
Total: | 7.5 Runs (Over -115 / Under -105) |
Game Time: | 7:40pm ET / 4:40pm PT |
Where: | American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI |
Weather: | Retractable Roof |
Mets at Brewers Analysis
On Tuesday night, the Brewers and the Mets face off for the second game of a three-game series. The Mets won last night 7-2 behind an excellent outing from Max Scherzer and some great hitting.
New York leads the season series over Milwaukee 3-1. For this matchup, the Mets and the Brewers are both -110, the run line is 1.5 either way and the total is set at 7.5 runs.
Carrasco Gets Call For Mets
The Mets clinched their ticket to playoff baseball in October, but they have work to do to clinch the NL East. New York currently has a 1 game lead over the Braves in the NL East and that can change in a second.
Until the Mets clinch the NL East, every game is a must-win game for New York. The Mets are 44-29 on the road this season and they are 60-53 covering the run line as a favorite.
Carlos Carrasco will take the mound for the Mets tonight in Milwaukee. On the season, Carrasco is 15-6 with a 3.70 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 3.40 FIP. In his last two starts, Carrasco allowed two runs on eight hits in 12 innings of work.
Carrasco has had a very solid season, but he is a lot worse when playing on the road this year. When he is pitching away from Citi Field, his ERA jumps to 4.42, he has a .270 batting average against, a .477 slugging percentage against, a 3.98 FIP, and a 1.23 WHIP. The Mets are 3-2 straight up in his last five road starts this season.
Milwaukee Must Win Down Stretch
Milwaukee is 2-3 in their last five games and now is not the time for them to get cold. The Brewers are out of the race in the NL Central, but they have a shot to make the playoffs via the Wild Card.
The Brewers are 2.5 games back of the Phillies and they need every win they can get to make the playoffs. Milwaukee is 41-29 at home this season and they are 18-15 covering the spread as an underdog.
Lefty Aaron Ashby will take the mound against the Mets tonight at home. Ashby is 2-10 this season with a 4.58 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a 4.05 FIP. In his last start, Ashby allowed six runs on eight hits in five innings of work.
On June 16th, Ashby faced the Mets and allowed four runs on four hits in 4.1 innings of work. At home this season, Ashby has a 3.60 ERA, a .189 batting average against, a 1.10 WHIP, and a 4.41 FIP.
Mets at Brewers Prediction
The game will be close, but I have to ride with the Mets here. New York has a special team this season, they have the better pitcher, and the better lineup, so I expect a Mets win. This game may be close, but New York will pull it out.
Prediction: New York Mets -115
Interested in placing a bet on Tuesday’s Mets at Brewers National League showdown? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Tuesday, September 20
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