Orioles vs Tigers Betting Pick: The Preview
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly offers his analysis of Monday’s Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers clash at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Tigers are on their way to another 100-loss season while the Orioles sit four games back of an AL Wildcard spot.
Monday, September 19 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Baltimore Orioles -195 vs Detroit Tigers +162 |
Runline: | Orioles -1.5 (+105) / Tigers +1.5 (-125) |
Total: | 8 Runs (Over -115 / Under -105) |
Game Time: | 7:05pm ET / 4:05pm PT |
Where: | Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD |
Weather: | 80 Degrees / Clear |
Orioles vs Tigers Analysis
The Orioles and the Tigers kick off a three-game series on Monday night. The Orioles are coming off a 2-1 series loss against the Blue Jays and the Tigers are coming off a 2-1 series loss against the White Sox.
The Tigers have been eliminated from playoff contention, but the Orioles still have a fighting chance. The Tigers swept the O’s the first time these teams played this season. For this matchup, the Orioles are -200 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 8 runs.
Detroit Tigers Left Depleted
Detroit is out of playoff contention, and there is not much to say about this team. The Tigers are 1-4 in their last five games, they are 55-91 on the season, 24-46 on the road, and they are 60-62 covering the run line as an underdog. Detroit has its sights sets on being competitive in 2023.
Lefty Tyler Alexander will take the mound for the Tigers tonight in Baltimore. On the season, Alexander is 3-10 with a 5.35 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a 5.10 FIP. In his last two starts, Alexander has allowed 11 runs on 16 hits in just 9.1 innings of work.
It has been a struggle for Alexander all season regardless of where he makes his starts. On the road this season, Alexander has a 7.30 ERA, a .619 slugging percentage against, a .329 batting average against, a 6.81 FIP, a .313 batting average on balls in play, and a 1.68 WHIP.
Baltimore Still Battling For Playoff Birth
The Orioles need to win tonight, and they have a solid matchup to do just that. The Orioles are 3-2 in their last five games and they are four games back in the AL Wild Card race. Baltimore is 76-69 on the season, they are 41-30 at home, and they are 13-14 covering the run line as a favorite.
Tyler Wells will make the start for the Orioles tonight at home. On the season, Wells is 7-6 with a 3.93 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a 4.53 FIP. In his last two starts, Wells has lasted just 6 innings combined and he allowed three runs on four hits in those outings.
At home this season, Wells has a 4.09 ERA, a .414 slugging percentage against, a 5.18 FIP, and a 1.23 WHIP. Wells has had some solid outings this season, but he has actually been worse at home.
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction
Based on this pitching matchup, I think the Orioles have the advantage. Neither pitcher is great at keeping teams down and there could be plenty of runs. I like the Orioles to cover 1.5 tonight in a huge, must-win game tonight.
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +105
Interested in placing a bet on Monday’s Orioles vs Tigers American League showdown? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Monday, September 19
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