Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Betting Preview
Thanksgiving day, the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys host the 7-3 New York Giants. Will Dallas give New York another beat down or will the Giants split the season series? Sportsmemo NFL handicapper Eric Pauly shares his thoughts and makes a free, expert Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Week 12 betting pick.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Week 12 Betting Odds
Thursday, November 24 | Week 12 NFL Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | Dallas Cowboys -9.5 vs New York Giants |
Total: | o/u 45 Points |
Location: | AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX |
Game Time: | 4:30pm ET / 1:30pm PT (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
TV: | FOX |
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Betting Analysis
The Dallas Cowboys put the hammer on the Vikings last week and reasserted their dominance. On the other hand, the Giants lost to Detroit and are looking more and more like the worst 7-3 team in recent memory.
Dallas beat the Giants without Dak Prescott on primetime in Week 3. Since then the Cowboys have won three out of four games Dak has started while the Giants have won five of their last seven.
Cowboys Are Complete Team
If you did not believe in Dallas before Week 11, I would bet you do now. Dallas is one of the most complete teams in the NFL and their defense is one of the best units in the league. When this team is firing on all cylinders, they are a Super Bowl contender.
The Cowboys’ offense has not been overwhelmingly good this season, but that is also not to say it’s been bad. Cooper Rush did a great job keeping this team on track and while Dak Prescott had trouble getting right in his first start back from injury, he seems to be in form now.
Dallas is 7th in the NFL in points for, 14th in yards, 11th in net yards per attempt, and 14th in yards per attempt on the ground. On a per-drive basis, Dallas is 27th in time, 23rd in plays, 19th in yards, and 12th in points.
Dallas is 7th in the NFL in red zone percentage which helps this team tremendously. Again, this is not one of the most electric offenses in football, but they are certainly capable of putting up points with the best of them.
Where Dallas truly thrives is on defense. The Cowboys are first in the NFL in pressure rate, fifth in hurry percentage, and first in sacks. On a per-drive basis, the Dallas defense is 24th in time, 22nd in plays, 8th in yards, and 3rd in points.
This team sures up in the red zone and on third down and they currently have the least amount of points against of any team in the NFL. With a defensive line that can cause issues and a secondary that can make plays on the football, this Dallas Cowboys team is for real.
Saquon Or Bust For Giants
The Giants are a nice story, but they are punching well above their weight class. Coaches Brian Daboll and Wink Martindale have their units playing well, but they also only have one great win under their belt this season. The Giants will compete, but they are not a lock to make the playoffs in the NFC.
On offense, the Giants are depleted at wide receiver, so they lean on Saquon Barkley. Do not get me wrong, this is a good strategy, but it is limited in how good it can be. On a per-drive basis, the Giants are 3rd in drive time, 5th in plays, 15th in yards, and 17th in points.
These numbers are inspiring, but what isn’t is their QB play and lack of WR production. Daniel Jones is 23rd in net yards per attempt and this team is just 21st in points scored this season. The Giants are middle of the pack on third down and red zone offense.
New York has done a good job on defense despite not having the most talented personnel. New York is 13th in points against and 14th in opposing new yards per attempt.
However, this team cannot stop the run and they rank 2nd to last in opposing rushing yards per carry. On a per-drive basis, the Giants are 7th in drive time, 16th in plays, 20th in yards, and 14th in points.
The Giants are the 2nd best team in the NFL in red zone defense and they are 5th best on third down. New York is 11th in pressure rate which is huge, but again, this team is punching above its weight class.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction
Nine points is a lot, especially in a divisional game and on a short week, but I lean toward Dallas here. The only way the Cowboys make this a game is if they do not come to play, which I think is unlikely.
Dallas’s strengths on defense should overwhelm Barkley and Jones which gives the Giants little to no options moving the football.
New York will know what to expect from Dallas, but both of these teams are different from their Week 3 meeting. Tony Pollard is being featured, the Cowboys’ entire defensive line is lights out, and New York barely has an NFL-caliber WR healthy right now.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -9.5
Opening Line Report | NFL Week 12
Listen to Teddy Covers and Drew Martin every Monday during the NFL season as they preview opening lines for next week’s games. This past Monday they previewed both games the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants in Week 12 among other games giving their expert betting analysis.
NFL Odds Board
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NFL point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the Week 12 games, including this Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, and making a brilliant Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers betting pick, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
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