The San Diego Padres are still on the road they are in Milwaukee for a three-game set against the Brewers. They just completed a weekend series against the Dodgers taking two of three against LA. The Friars will send Joe Musgrove to the bump with his 1-2 SU record and his ERA of 6.87 in four starts this season. Musgrove has allowed at least four earned runs in three of those four starts. Tonight, he will face the Brewers team that is ranked second in the majors in batting average with a .287 team average. Musgrove has also allowed two homeruns in limited work this season and that is not good news because the Brewers are third in the league in homeruns. Over his career, Musgrove has struggled against the Brewers posting a record of 1-3 SU with an ERA of 4.04 in eight starts. Last season he faced the Brewers once allowing seven runs in seven innings of work in his only start versus Milwaukee. The Brewers will send Joe Ross to the mound with his 1-0 SU record and his ERA of 1.80 on the season. Over his career, five starts against the Friars he is 2-1 SU with an ERA of 4.00. The TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.40 runs. The SPMatrix has Joe Ross with an average of 6.34 compared to Joe Musgrove who has an average of 4.26. Our next set of metrics looks at the overall Pitchers Power Ratings. Coming into this game and situation Ross has a rating of 97 while Musgrove has a rating of only 80 with the league average of 100. The SIM Matrix has the Milwaukee Brewers with a 73.90 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s contest. A check of the offensive run differential for each team where we find the Brewers with a +2.21-advantage scoring an average of 6.50 runs per game while allowing 4.29 runs per game on the season. The Friars are scoring an average of 5.33 runs per game while allowing 5.00 runs per game with an advantage of just +0.33 runs. Play ON MLB home underdogs or short favorites coming off a SU loss that ended at least a three-game winning streak in the current game they have a pitching advantage in the SPMatrix of 1.50 or more and a run differential advantage of 1.25 runs per game or more, 62-37 SU (63%) including 9-0 SU L9. We are going to take the home dog here as they get back in the win column on Monday night against the Friars.