The NBA Play-In Tournament begins tonight, and the Western Conference features a matchup between the tenth seeded Warriors on the road at the ninth seeded Kings Tuesday night. The winner moves on, and the loser is finished for the 2023-24 campaign. The Warriors ended their season on a 10-2 SU run defeating the Jazz 123 to 116 in their final game of the regular season. It was their defense over that twelve-game span that surprised as they held their opponents to an average of just 114.6 points per game. Tonight, they face a Kings offense that has only averaged 110.3 points per game over their final seven games of the season which saw them post a record of just 2-5 SU. Although the Kings ended the regular season on a high note by crushing a terrible Blazers team 121 to 82. The Warriors and Kings have met four times this season with the Warriors taking the first two games and the Kings taking the last two. The Under has cashed in four of their last six meetings. Both teams are tenth or lower in offensive efficiency and they’re both outside the top ten in pace. The combination of these factors helps secure our play on the low side of the total. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 218.2 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -5.09 points against the current total range. The SIM Matrix has the UNDER with a 73.96 percent advantage against the total in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has offensive and defensive splits for both teams on the low side of their current season averages. The Warriors coming off three straight ATS losses as a favorite have posted a record of 16-40-2 Under. The Kings as a division underdog in this price range coming off a SU/ATS win have posted a record of 1-12-0 Under. Play UNDER on certain NBA conference teams playing with revenge for a four or fewer point loss in their previous same season meeting in a game that went Over the posted total, 5-33-0 Under. We are going to play this total to come up well short of the oddsmakers total on Tuesday night in Sacramento.