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ANALYSIS: The Indiana Pacers return to the Hoosier state on Friday for Game Three of their best-of-seven series against the visiting Milwaukee Bucks. In Game One of the series which was played in Milwaukee on Sunday the Bucks won 109 to 94 winning outright as a +1.5-point home underdog. The Pacers made the right adjustments and took Game Two to even the series with a final score of 125 to 108. The final score in Game Two should not have come as a surprise because the Pacers have a 5-2 record against the Bucks this season. Including a perfect 2-0 at home. Indiana has scored more than 120 points in all but one of those contests. The Bucks have seen more than 115 points just once in the month of April and in that game, they only managed to score 117. So based on those numbers its easy to see why the Pacers have held serve in five of the seven meetings this season between the two clubs. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.96 points. The MM projects a point differential of +6.07 in the current line range. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 5.65 with a transitional average of 43.78 and a projected conversion rate range advantage of 4.5 percent for the Pacers. The SIM Matrix has the Indiana Pacers with a 73.99 percent advantage against the spread in this contest. The Pacers as a division home favorite are a solid 43-24 ATS. The Bucks as a division road underdog coming off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite at home are only 12-26-1 ATS. Play ON NBA division home teams in this price range coming off a SU win as a road underdog, 33-18 ATS. Play ON NBA division home teams in this price range coming off an ATS win as a road underdog, 56-29-1 ATS. We are going to lay the chalk with the Pacers as history repeats itself and Indiana takes a 2-1 series lead on Friday night.