Bucks @ Pacers 6:30 PM ET
Game# 513-514
Play On: Indiana -7.5
There will be a definite overreaction by public bettors to side with Milwaukee as a sizable underdog after witnessing the Bucks 113-92 home win on Tuesday which kept their season alive. However, the series shifts back to Indiana for Game 6 where the Bucks are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS this season.
Indiana was held to less than 100 points scored for only a 3rd time this season on Tuesday. Indiana is 2-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they were held to 99 points or fewer and won by an average of 18.0 points per contest. The Pacers have been extremely resilient over the last 8 weeks. That’s proven by them going 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 following a loss in their previous contest. They won those 9 contests by a decisive average of 20.0 points per game. Indiana has also gone a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of 3.0 or greater after losing their previous contest and with an average victory margin of 25.0 points per contest.
Since the 2003 NBA Playoffs, Game 6 NBA home favorites of 4.5 or more that are coming off an away loss by 10.0 or more in which they scored 99 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 11-1 SU&ATS. Additionally, if they were a favorite of 6.0 or greater they improved to 5-0 SU&ATS with an average line of -7.2 and victory margin of 18.0 points per game. Give me the Indiana Pacers minus points.