Magic @ Cavaliers 1:00 PM ET
Game# 545-546
Play On: Magic +3.5
The home teams are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in this series. So, Cleveland must be a lock on Sunday as a home favorite, right? Hold your horses, the data shows otherwise albeit being a very small sample size.
Cleveland is coming off Friday’s 103-96 loss at Orlando that forced a Game 7. Since the 2007 NBA Playoffs, Game 7 home favorites of 4.0 or less that are coming off a Game 6 loss in which they scored less than 100 points have gone 0-5 SU&ATS and were outscored by an average of 5.2 points per game. Additionally, since the 2003 NBA Playoffs, Game 7 conference of 4.5 or less in a series that saw the home teams win each of the first 6 in the series, resulted in those Game 7 home favorites going 0-3 SU&ATS and they were outscored by 7.0 points per game. Give me Orlando plus points.