San Diego Padres F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+115) R Nelson Must Start:
The San Diego Padres have crushed right-handed pitching this season as they rank #1 in batting average and #3 in wOBA with a wRC+ of 122. They have scored 3+ F5 runs in 6/8 games and against righties and now they have added two-time batting champion Luis Arraez who went 4-4 in his debut while scoring two of the Padres 13 runs. He-Seong Kim also benefited from being dropped to nine hole as he responded with a 3-run blast. Arizona starter Ryne Nelson is making his first start after a 15 day DL stint with an elbow injury and he hasn't made a rehab start. The Friars bats are familiar with Nelson and they scored 3, 6 and 5 runs against him last season without him pitching past the 5th inning. This is a great spot to fire away on a plus money play.