The Pacers have a major edge against the Knicks in that their bench is operating at an extremely high level and New York has had to work extra hard just to get to this point. TJ McConnell, Obi Toppin and in Game 1, Isaiah Jackson, all have emerged as game-changing contributors for Rick Carlisle this postseason, while New York just lost its most impactful reserve with top defensive center Mitchell Robinson done due to an ankle injury. That hurts the Knicks as far as defending, rebounding and slowing the pace down, all essential factors in defeating Indiana. With the Pacers pushing tempo, New York not shying away from that style and Tyrese Haliburton certain to play better than he did in Game 1, Indy may steal this one outright. Ride the Pacers plus the point as a 3% play and the over as a 2% call.
For player props, grab the over on Josh Hart rebounds (12.5) and Myles Turner 3-pointers (1.5) for a half-unit apiece.