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  • Event: (253) Indianapolis Colts at (254) Buffalo Bills
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: August 8, 2019 7PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Indianapolis Colts -135
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

     3% Take Indianapolis (#253) on the Moneyline

    The Bills already have a cluster injury problem on their offensive line; a major concern for Sean McDermott here in Week 1 of the preseason.  I don’t anticipate immobile backup QB Matt Barkley to perform well behind a very suspect OL.  Behind him, rookie Tyree Jackson is anything but trustworthy in his first NFL appearance, a pretty big step up from what he saw defensively at Buffalo last year.  It’s surely worth noting that the Bills are 0-2 SU and ATS in Week 1 under McDermott, including a SU home loss as a Week 1 favorite last year.

    The Colts showed a legitimate interest in winning preseason games last year under Frank Reich: 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS; the lone loss coming by a single point in Week 2.  Indy has the type of QB rotation that I’m comfortable with in August.  Reports out of Colts camp indicate backup QB Jacoby Brissett is having a great camp, and third string candidates Philip Walker and Chad Kelly are the type of dual threat QB’s I want to be betting on in the second half of a Week 1 preseason game when a QB’s feet are every bit as important as his arm.  Let’s lay the modest price on the moneyline instead of laying points here; the optimal strategy for favorites in preseason football.  Take the Colts on the Moneyline.

    Line Parameter: 3% at -144 or lower, 2% at -145 or higher

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