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Last updated Sep 4, 10:47 PM EDT
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (399) Michigan at (400) Oklahoma | 7:30pm EDT - Sep 6/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 44.0 (-110)
In his first road start, Michigan's quarterback Bryce Underwood faces a formidable challenge from Oklahoma's defensive minded coach Brent Venables. Both teams' offenses struggled in Week 1, failing to cover large point spreads. Michigan's stout defense is likely to pressure Oklahoma's quarterback John Mateer, while Oklahoma's defense could stifle Michigan's attack. Expect both offenses to struggle moving the ball, with defenses dominating the game. Given the low total, the under is a strong betting choice. Let's cash some tickets!
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (461) New York Giants at (462) Washington Commanders | 1:00pm EDT - Sep 7/2025 |
The PLAY: New York Giants +6.0 (-110)
The betting line opened at Washington -7 but has shifted toward the New York Giants, with some sportsbooks now listing it at 5.5. I anticipate the line will settle between 5 and 5.5 by kickoff. The Commanders had a stellar 2024 season, reaching the NFC Championship Game. Their offense, led by rookie standout Jaden Daniels, remains a strength. Offseason acquisitions of Deebo Samuel and Laramie Tunsil, combined with a long-term extension for Terry McLaurin, bolster their attack. However, their defense was a weak point last season and appears largely unchanged, raising concerns about their ability to contain opponents. The Giants struggled in 2024, finishing with just three wins. However, they’ve made significant upgrades, most notably at quarterback with Russell Wilson, who brings experience and leadership. Wilson has reliable weapons and a robust running game led by Tyrone Tracy. The Giants defense is their standout unit, boasting one of the league’s top secondaries and a formidable pass rush, which could pose problems for Washington’s offense. With limited Week 1 data, historical trends provide insight. Since 2016, Week 1 underdogs have a strong 78-62 ATS (against the spread) record. Road underdogs perform even better at 52-36 ATS, while underdogs who missed the postseason the prior year are 59-45 ATS. Most compellingly, divisional underdogs in Week 1 are 31-16 ATS, making the Giants an attractive pick. Given the Commanders defensive vulnerabilities and the Giants’ defensive strengths, New York is well-positioned to keep this game close. Back the Giants as underdogs (+5.5) and consider a sprinkle on the Giants moneyline for added value, leveraging their defensive edge and favorable historical trends in this NFC East matchup. Let's cash some tickets!
Consultant Bio
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Lifelong sports fan, from the Philadelphia area. Specialized in market movement/contrarian handicapping. Efficient in MLB/NCAAB/NASCAR. Capping for 10+ years. He looks for every available angle to make the smartest wager. Let's cash some tickets!