Ready to cash in on this week’s college football action? Tom’s got you covered with his red-hot betting picks for the Troy vs. Texas State showdown! With a proven track record of sniffing out winners, Tom’s breaking down this matchup to give you the edge you need to beat the books. Don’t miss out on this week’s winner. Let's cash some tickets!
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (205) Utah State at (206) Hawaii | 12:00am EDT - Oct 12/2025 |
The PLAY: Utah State -115
#205 Utah State vs. #206 Hawaii
Date & Time: Midnight, Sunday, October 12, 2025
Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Game Preview and Betting Analysis
Utah State Aggies (3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS)
Offense: Averaging 36.4 points per game (PPG), Utah State boasts a dynamic attack with 14 passing and 11 rushing touchdowns. They rank 60th in FBS with 168.8 rushing yards per game.
Defense: Allowing 413.0 total yards per game (114th in FBS), they’ve surrendered 11 passing and 9 rushing touchdowns. Turnovers are minimal, with only 4 giveaways.
Recent Performance: Coming off a 55-35 loss to Vanderbilt, but their ATS record is a perfect 5-0 overall (2-0 on the road).
Against Hawaii: Utah State has dominated the series, winning the last 8 meetings and covering the spread in 7 of those.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Offense: Averaging 25.7 PPG (86th in FBS), with 275.5 passing yards per game (32nd nationally) but only 93.3 rushing yards per game. They’ve thrown 7 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles.
Defense: Allowing 23.5 points per game, with 368.8 total yards per game (80th in FBS).
Recent Performance: Fresh off a 44-35 upset win over Air Force, Hawaii is 3-1 ATS at home. However, penalties are a major issue, with 404 penalty yards on 45 infractions (5th-most in FBS).
Betting Insights
Line Analysis: The current line appears undervalued for Utah State, who transitioned from underdog to favorite. Their historical dominance over Hawaii (8 straight wins, 7 covers) suggests they’re being underrated.
Game Outlook: The high total points line indicates a potential shootout, but Utah State’s balanced and explosive offense (36.4 PPG) should outpace Hawaii’s less consistent attack. Hawaii’s penalty issues and turnover woes (12 total giveaways) could prove costly against a Utah State team that protects the ball well.
Prediction: Utah State’s offensive firepower and series dominance make them the likely winner, with a strong chance to cover the spread. Hawaii may struggle to keep up in a high-scoring affair.
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| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (181) South Carolina at (182) LSU | 7:45pm EDT - Oct 11/2025 |
The PLAY: South Carolina +9.5 (-115)
South Carolina vs. LSU Analysis
Date/Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, 7:45 PM EDT
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Team Records and Trends
South Carolina (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) 1-0 ATS on the road
2-1 ATS in conference play
LSU (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) 1-2 ATS at home
1-1 ATS in conference play
Game Context
Both teams are coming off a bye, which should provide a chance to regroup and get healthy. Historically, LSU has dominated this series, with South Carolina failing to secure a win since 1994. Last season’s matchup was a nail-biter, with LSU escaping Columbia in a 36-33 thriller. This time, the Gamecocks head to the intimidating environment of Death Valley, aiming to prove they can compete with the SEC’s elite.
Team Breakdown
South Carolina: The Gamecocks have shown flashes of brilliance but struggle with consistency, particularly on the road. Their offense, led by quarterback LaNorris Sellers, has underperformed relative to Heisman expectations. However, their defense is a standout, excelling at preventing first downs and forcing turnovers. Improved talent, leadership, and discipline make this a pivotal opportunity for South Carolina to demonstrate their progress.
LSU: The Tigers, quarterbacked by Garrett Nussmeier, also entered the season with Heisman hype but have failed to consistently impress. Their defense, however, is stout, allowing just 12.2 points per game. LSU’s depth and home-field advantage in Tiger Stadium remain formidable challenges for opponents.
Key Insights
Both offenses have appeared lackluster at times, but the defenses are the story here. South Carolina’s ability to disrupt drives and create turnovers pairs well against LSU’s stingy scoring defense. The bye week should help both teams address offensive inconsistencies, but this game projects as a low-scoring, defensive battle.
Betting Analysis
The betting line has shifted in South Carolina’s favor, reflecting market confidence in the Gamecocks’ ability to keep this game close. The total points line is low at 44.5, and given the defensive strengths and offensive struggles, the under is appealing. South Carolina’s ability to play clean football could make them a live underdog.
Picks South Carolina +8.5: The Gamecocks’ defense and improving discipline make them a solid bet to cover the spread.
Under 44.5: Expect a grind-it-out game with both defenses dictating the pace.
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Consultant Bio
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Lifelong sports fan, from the Philadelphia area. Specialized in market movement/contrarian handicapping. Efficient in MLB/NCAAB/NASCAR. Capping for 10+ years. He looks for every available angle to make the smartest wager. Let's cash some tickets!