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Today’s Free Picks
Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
---|---|---|
NBA | (551) Minnesota Timberwolves at (552) Los Angeles Lakers | 10:10pm EDT - Oct 24/2025 |
The PLAY: Los Angeles Lakers +2.0 (-110)
This is a FREE PLAY on the LA Lakers.
The Lakers acquired Luka Doncic late last year, but they're now expected to take another step forward again this season.
Last year, the Lakers did make the playoffs, though, where they were then eliminated by the Timberwolves in the first round.
Without LeBron James in the line-up for a bit, LA will be leaning heavily on Doncic, who finished with 42 points, 12 boards, and nine assists in the 119-109 loss to the Warriors. Austin Reaves also looked great, finishing with 26 points and nine assists.
The Wolves would go on to reach the NBA Western Conference Final last year, only to fall to the eventual champion Oklahoma City Thunder.
Minnesota squeaked by Portland on the road, but I think they'll have a much tougher time here against Doncic and the revenge-minded home side, even without The King in the lineup.
If we look a little closer at the Wolves' numbers in their first game, we find out that they, in fact, lost the first three quarters and entered the fourth down by six. Anthony Edwards was his usual dominant self, finishing with 41 points and seven boards.
Rudy Gobert now has to contend with DeAndre Ayton, so it's not going to be as easy for the Wolves to dominate in the paint in this matchup this season.
I like Doncic to step up and deliver another big game, and for the Lakers to do just enough to secure the victory.
That said, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with LA.
Good luck, NP
Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
---|---|---|
NBA | (531) Denver Nuggets at (532) Golden State Warriors | 10:10pm EDT - Oct 23/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 233.5 (-115)
This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER between the Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors survived opening night on the road against the Lakers, holding on for the 119-109 victory, and the total sneaking OVER the number of 226.5. I was unfortunately on the UNDER in that one.
Now the over/under line here at home against the Nuggets is quite a bit higher, and in my opinion, a bit TOO high. I think there are enough situational factors that would point to this game being much more defensive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.
As I stated in yesterday's analysis, the Warriors, led by Draymond Green and now Al Horford on the defensive end, finished in the top 10 in most defensive statistics. They held the Lakers to 109 points, and I think they can hold the Nuggets to a similar total.
The Lakers were missing LeBron James, which is obviously huge, but Jimmy Butler would go on to score 31 points, followed by Steph Curry with 23 and Buddy Hield and Jonathan Kuminga with 17 apiece. Green finished with eight points, seven boards, and 9 assists.
The Nuggets come to town with a new coach and a renewed sense of hope that they'll be able to return to the elite in the West after taking a step back last season. The Nuggets still made the playoffs last year, and they gave Oklahoma City a hell of a battle as well. There are a bunch of new faces in Denver this year. Michael Porter Jr. is gone, but the Nuggets welcome Cam Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Bruce Brown to this year's line-up.
Last year, the Nuggets went 2-1 in this series. They still have likely the best player on the planet in Nikola Jokic, and with the offense being run through the big Serbian primarily on Opening night, I'm expecting a more methodical pace out of the visitors than what this O/U line would suggest.
All things considered, I think this line is indeed a bit TOO high.
Consider the UNDER.
Good luck, NP
Consultant Bio
Veteran handicapper Nick Parsons has been involved in the industry both as one of the World's leading sports prognosticating experts (in every major sport over the course of the last 20 years!), and he's also worked behind the scenes with some of the biggest companies and players in the market as well.
A "contrarian" at heart, Nick has always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid, and long term. Parsons doesn't limit himself to any sort of bet, or style of wagering. If he sees value in a pick, whether it's an underdog or a favorite, then he plays it. His succinct and no "B.S." approach, while also always being fully accountable, is what his growing list of satisfied clients has grown to appreciate the most.
Nick's been in the trenches fighting the books every single day for the last 20 years. He's never once pretended that any part of this industry is "easy." It's not. But you can put his invaluable experience to work for you, as 2023 and 2024 have massive potential for this industry icon!