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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (259) Jacksonville Jaguars at (260) Houston Texans | 1:00pm EST - Nov 9/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 37.5 (-109)
Jaguars vs. Texans Analysis
Records & Betting Trends
Jaguars: 5-3 straight up, 4-4 ATS (1-2 ATS on road)
Texans: 3-5 straight up, 3-5 ATS (2-2 ATS at home)
Offensive Outlook
The Jaguars rank as a middle of the pack unit on both offense and defense. They lean heavily on the run game behind Travis Etienne, but quarterback Trevor Lawrence has struggled mightily this season. His woes are compounded by a decimated receiving corps: Travis Hunter is on IR, and rookie standout Brian Thomas Jr. is questionable with an ankle injury.
Houston’s attack has been equally anemic. Even when healthy, C.J. Stroud hasn’t set the world on fire, and the Texans boast virtually no ground game. Stroud himself is questionable; if he can’t go, Davis Mills—who looked lost in relief last week—steps in. Tight end Dalton Schultz leads the team in receiving, underscoring the lack of playmakers.
Defensive Strength
Both clubs hang their hats on defense, particularly against divisional foes:
Jaguars allow just 10.0 PPG in division play
Texans allow 8.5 PPG in division play
Betting Angle: The Under
With battered offenses, elite divisional defenses, and a total that has already dropped sharply, the market is screaming under. Houston is 6-2 to the under this season, and the combination of low scoring trends and personnel issues makes this the clear play.
Recommendation: Under 37.5
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Consultant Bio
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Lifelong sports fan, from the Philadelphia area. Specialized in market movement/contrarian handicapping. Efficient in MLB/NCAAB/NASCAR. Capping for 10+ years. He looks for every available angle to make the smartest wager. Let's cash some tickets!