Another profitable session in the books as Joe Duffy stays on the attack. The run now sits at 203–155 since October, with sustained separation across every market. Basketball continues to lead the charge at 62–41. Even better 60–34 in college hoops, while the NFL remains locked in at 57–33. This what I’ve been doing publicly since 1988.
College basketball Wise Guy side.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (573) Boston Celtics at (574) Utah Jazz: Spread | 9:10pm EST - Dec 30/2025 |
The PLAY: Boston Celtics -8.0 (-105)
The NBA has long favored road chalk, particularly when the visitor is motivated off a loss and the home team is riding momentum from a win. That exact setup is in play here. Large road favorites with modest defensive delta profiles are 1,353–1,049–47 historically, and when coming off a loss that improves to 465–332–21 (58.3%). Add in an opponent off a win and the record tightens further to 163–105–6. Revenge road favorites in qualifying situations have also delivered consistently, and when paired with a loss-versus-win dynamic the cover rate pushes north of 59%.
This matchup also checks key contrarian boxes. Public underdogs remain one of the most reliable fades in basketball, and this game grades out cleanly across domestic, offshore, and legacy sharp-intel indicators. Independent modeling supports the edge, projecting the Celtics to cover at a strong clip.
Another profitable session is already in the books as Joe Duffy continues to press the advantage. The long-term run now stands at 203–155 since October, with clear separation across every major market. Basketball leads the way at 62–41, including a dominant 60–34 in college hoops, while the NFL remains sharp at 57–33. This is the same disciplined, data-driven approach that has been delivered publicly since 1988.
Today’s card
2:00 ET College Football — Wise Guy
Night College Basketball — Wise Guy and Major
Consultant Bio
Joe Duffy: From Prodigy to Sports Handicapping Pioneer
Joe Duffy has been handicapping sports literally since childhood. Growing up in suburban Philadelphia, he became fascinated with picking winners against the spread when the Philadelphia Inquirer ran a season-long contest featuring professional handicappers selecting five NFL games each week.
Using the same point spreads as the pros, young Joe submitted his own “armchair picks.” In his very first year, he outperformed every official contestant by several games—a moment that sparked a lifelong obsession with sports betting.
Throughout his pre-teen years, Duffy continued as a “fantasy handicapper,” consistently finishing near or at the top of the contest. During grade school and high school, he was a devoted listener to Mickey Charles’ weekend handicapping shows on WCAU-AM, where legends like Mike Lee and Lem Banker shared their theories. True to his studious nature, Duffy even took notes, absorbing every detail like a sponge.
It was no coincidence that years later, he got his first break in the industry with Charles’ company. While paying his way through college, Duffy began working as a Scorephone announcer for Dial Sports 976 Scorephones. At the same time, he honed his broadcasting skills as a play-by-play announcer for California University of Pennsylvania’s radio and TV stations.
Upon graduation, Duffy immediately transitioned into a full-time handicapper and scorephone announcer for the toll-free score services. There, he studied directly under two legendary mentors: Ray Scott, the iconic broadcaster who won the Pete Rozelle Radio-Television Award from the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2000, and Hank Stram, the Super Bowl–winning coach inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2003. Both played a major role in shaping Duffy’s career.
Duffy’s trajectory continued upward as he became General Manager of the national Freescoreboard scorephones. During this era, fellow announcers nicknamed him “Mr. March” for his dominance during college basketball’s conference tournaments and NCAA Tournament. That moniker evolved into “The Lord of the Big Dance,” a title he still carries proudly, having posted a winning March Madness every year since 1998.
Over the decades, Duffy has become one of the most published voices in sports betting strategy. He has written extensively, hosted and guested on podcasts and videos, and earned national recognition as a featured expert. His insights have appeared on ESPN, Bleacher Report, and across countless TV, radio, and digital platforms worldwide.
Today, Joe Duffy stands as the leading handicapper in advanced analytics, leveraging statistically significant computer systems and proprietary betting formulas to deliver consistent results. What began as a childhood passion has evolved into a career of unmatched credibility, longevity, and influence in the sports handicapping industry.