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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (485) Kansas City Chiefs at (486) Jacksonville Jaguars | 8:15pm EDT - Oct 6/2025 |
The PLAY: Take Travis Etienne To Record Over 66.5 Rushing Yards
Travis Etienne Jr. has emerged as one of the NFL's elite running backs through Week 4 of the 2025 season, poised for another standout performance against the Kansas City Chiefs' vulnerable run defense. At EverBank Stadium, where the Jaguars average 144.0 rushing yards per game (4th in the NFL), Etienne is set to dominate in a neutral to favorable game script. Under new head coach Liam Coen, Jacksonville’s revitalized ground game has unlocked Etienne’s potential after a lackluster 2024. As the clear RB1, he’s out touched backup Bhayshul Tuten 65-21, showcasing elite efficiency with 394 rushing yards (3rd league wide) and a league leading 6.1 yards per carry among RBs with 50+ attempts. Etienne has surpassed 66.5 rushing yards in 3 of 4 games (75%), including two 100+ yard outings, and even in his "off" game (56 yards vs. Houston), he scored a touchdown on 16 carries, underscoring his consistent volume.
The Chiefs’ front seven, anchored by Chris Jones, thrives in pass rushing but struggles against the run, ranking 9th worst in explosive run rate allowed and 6th in missed tackles on runs. Etienne’s elusiveness (11th in yards after contact per attempt) and 6.1 YPC exploit these weaknesses, as his efficiency outpaces Kansas City’s average YPC allowed. At home, Etienne averages 112 rushing yards per game across two contests this season. Given his bell cow role, elite efficiency, and a favorable matchup, the 66.5 yard prop is too low—he’s projected for 85-95 yards and has hit similar props (65.5) in 75% of games. This sets up as a prime opportunity for Etienne to fuel Jacksonville’s resurgent ground attack in a high-profile bounce-back spot.
Prediction: Over 66.5 rushing yards.
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Consultant Bio
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Lifelong sports fan, from the Philadelphia area. Specialized in market movement/contrarian handicapping. Efficient in MLB/NCAAB/NASCAR. Capping for 10+ years. He looks for every available angle to make the smartest wager. Let's cash some tickets!