Phillies vs Braves Betting Pick: The Preview
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly offers his analysis of Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves clash at Citizens Bank Park. The Braves have lost two straight now sitting 1.5 games back in the NL East before tonight’s game.
Friday, September 23 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Philadelphia Phillies -170 vs Atlata Braves +143 |
Runline: | Phillies -1.5 (+140) / Braves +1.5 (-160) |
Total: | 7 Runs (Over -115 / Under -105) |
Game Time: | 7:05pm ET / 4:05pm PT |
Where: | Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA |
Weather: | 70 Degrees / 60% Chance of Rain |
Phillies vs Braves Analysis
On Friday night, the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies face off for the second game of a four-game series. The Phillies won last night 1-0 behind a great outing from Ranger Suarez and their bullpen.
Atlanta leads the season series 9-7 over the Phillies. For this matchup, the Phillies are -160 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is seven runs.
Braves Buckling Up For NL East Title Run
The Braves are locks to make the postseason, but they would love to win the NL East. At the moment, Atlanta is 1.5 games behind the Mets, and they need wins badly if they want to clinch.
Atlanta is 3-2 in their last five games, they are 93-57 on the season, 41-31 on the road, and 15-15 covering the run line as an underdog.
Jake Odorizzi will make the start for the Braves tonight in Philly. On the season, Odorizzi is 5-5 with a 4.04 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a 4.21 FIP.
Odorizzi’s last start was against the Phillies, and he allowed one run on two hits in 4.2 innings with five strikeouts. That was the only time Odorizzi faced Philly this season.
On the road this year, Odorizzi has a 4.07 ERA, a .407 slugging percentage against, a .262 batting average against, a 4.23 FIP, and a 1.28 WHIP. The Braves are 5-6 on the moneyline in his 11 road starts this season.
Nola Needs To Get It Done Against Braves
The Phillies needed a win, and they got a huge win last night at home. The Phillies have no shot of winning the NL East, but they still need to accumulate wins so they can lock in their Wild Card spot.
The Brewers are just 2.5 games back of the Phillies for the final Wild Card spot in the NL, so the Phillies need to keep on winning. Philadelphia is 2-3 in their last five games, they are 82-67 on the season, 46-32 at home, and 44-56 covering the run line as a favorite.
Aaron Nola will make the start for the Phillies tonight at home vs the Braves. On the season, Nola is 9-12 with a 3.38 ERA, a .98 WHIP, and a 2.66 FIP. This will be Nola’s fifth time facing the Braves this season.
His last start was against Atlanta, in Atlanta, and Nola allowed four runs on seven hits with eight strikeouts in a Phillies loss.
At home this season, Nola has a 3.76 ERA, a .382 slugging percentage against, a .212 batting average against, a 3.19 FIP, and a .95 WHIP. The Phillies are 8-7 in Nola’s home starts this season.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
Based on the line movement for this game, I’d have to lean toward the Phillies on the moneyline. The Phillies opened as -145 favorites, and now they are -160 favorites, so I expect Philly to be a good play here. Both of these teams need to win, Philly needs it more, and Nola is a better starter than Odorizzi.
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -160
Interested in placing a bet on Friday’s Phillies vs Braves NL East showdown? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Friday, September 23
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