FINNs NATIONAL LEAGUE TOP ~ TICKET I - New York Mets +108 List Butto and Mikolas | The money line position on New York is good with the Mets and Butto -110 or better.
3% game rating
Starting Pitchers: List Butto and Mikolas.
Home Plate Umpire: Dan Merzel is pitcher-friendly and is a big benefit to Butto. Mikolas pitches to contact and he is not assisted when Merzel is working home plate. Merzel's pitcher-friendly profile comes via pitchers who challenge the batter and work inside a quicker-than-league-average tempo … Butto has the favorable edge in terms of umpire profiles (Merzel is addicted to calling strikes) from the umpire who has called more strikes in the last three years than any active umpire.
Venue: Busch Stadium in St Louis
Weather: The Tuesday night forecast in downtown St Louis calls for first-pitch temperatures to be in the mid-70s with no precipitation expected while a light breeze between 4-8 mph blows out to right-centerfield.
My player tracking of Jose Butto goes back to last season. In a September turn in the rotation, Butto put together a quality start against the Marlins. The right-hander allowed just one run on four hits while striking out six against one walk over six innings of work.
Butto owned a 3.09 ERA and 8.2 K/9 through 32 IP in the late summer start. Free passes, command rather, has been an issue for the Mets young righty. Following the win over the Fish the 25-year-old owned a 5.3 BB/9 and 4.84 xFIP. It isn't possible to just discard his command issues of a season ago and before. However, his overall work profile offers some solid peripherals; e.g. a 12% swinging-strike rate, 73% contact rate, and 26% hard-hit rate.
Miko throws to contact and has not been the same since his best MLB campaign, following time in the KBA, and the St Louis right-hander doesn't miss enough bats or have a swinging strike rate worthy of support, not even in pitcher-friendly Busch.
The current Mets roster has seen plenty of Mikolas. Lindor, J.D. Martinez, Marte, and more have had plenty of success against the Cards soft-tossing vet and that won't end today as Butto and the Mets are essentially a pick as the visitor in downtown St Loui on Tuesday night.
New York Mets +108 List Butto and Mikolas