We're 4-2 for +4.55 units at the U.S. Open so far.
Follow me on Substack (farleybets.substack.com) for free plays and other betting content.
Five years ago, right before COVID hit and forced everyone to work from home, I decided to create more content in the sports betting space. After nearly two decades of working in the federal government, I was satisfied with my security but dulled by the lack of passion I had in my 9-5 job, so I was always seeking something more. It occurred to me that, more than any other hobby, I was invested in reading/learning and consuming everything I could about sports and sports betting. Even when I was a little boy, my father brought home “pick-em sheets” for every NFL week, and I tried my hand on several occasions. I remember beating his coworkers more than once.
And even though I had been a winning bettor on my own, I never shared my style or advice. I started writing for a great site called TheOddsBreakers, which broke me onto the public scene and help earn respect from my peers (I hit 58%, 207-152 in my inaugural season as an NBA handicapper).
Then I entered the Circa Millions contest for the first time with only one entry and won 5th place overall in the 2021 NFL season (61-28-1, 68%).
Since then, I’ve written for dozens of sports betting publications and served in myriad roles with sports companies such as The33rdTeam, BetUS, and SportsWagers.ca. I also won in Circa Millions again, achieving 1st place in last year’s third quarter contest ($150k). I have my own podcast, Laying the Points with FarleyBets, which I will resume in the 2025 NFL season. All of my records and plays have been shared transparently, where I’ve accrued 113 units in the NFL and 100 units in the NBA over four seasons, and I continue to contribute my betting thoughts/picks on Substack.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| TNS | (8571) Katie Boulter at (8572) Marta Kostyuk | 11:00am EDT - Aug 26/2025 |
The PLAY: Parlay: Marta Kostyuk + over 21.5 games
(8571) Katie Boulter at (8572) Marta Kostyuk
Parlay: Marta Kostyuk + over 21.5 games
11:00 AM EST. Ukrainian Marta Kostyuk (World’s #28) has been a rising star in the tennis world for the last few seasons. Sponsors certainly believe — in 2023, she agreed to a landmark deal with Wilson, cementing her legacy in at least some fashion (pun). A fan favorite in her outfit-choices and demeanor, she’s had some mixed results in 2025 but remains a real threat in hard court season. In 2020 and 2024 she made it to the third round in Flushing, and she has great marks on hard courts over the last three seasons (62-39, 61%), although this year it’s been rockier (14-11). We’ve seen the 23-year old beauty rise to the occasion in these moments before. Katie Boulter beat Kostyuk in their one matchup, a clash at the start of the WTA calendar last year in San Diego, which is always a tough spot to evaluate. Kostyuk had a meteoric 2024, a finalist in the Olympics and rising to a top-25 rank at one point, so it’s likely that was an outlier performance. Either way, Boulter has more notable records on grass, although she found better form on hard courts in 2023-2024 (46-24, 66%). Throughout her career, she’s been very average on the surface otherwise (136-105, 56%). We project a longer match since Boulter is typically a gamer in this big events, but recent tournaments show a version of Kostyuk that could be very dangerous in New York.
Consultant Bio
Five years ago, right before COVID hit and forced everyone to work from home, I decided to create more content in the sports betting space. After nearly two decades of working in the federal government, I was satisfied with my security but dulled by the lack of passion I had in my 9-5 job, so I was always seeking something more. It occurred to me that, more than any other hobby, I was invested in reading/learning and consuming everything I could about sports and sports betting. Even when I was a little boy, my father brought home “pick-em sheets” for every NFL week, and I tried my hand on several occasions. I remember beating his coworkers more than once.
And even though I had been a winning bettor on my own, I never shared my style or advice. I started writing for a great site called TheOddsBreakers, which broke me onto the public scene and help earn respect from my peers (I hit 58%, 207-152 in my inaugural season as an NBA handicapper).
Then I entered the Circa Millions contest for the first time with only one entry and won 5th place overall in the 2021 NFL season (61-28-1, 68%).
Since then, I’ve written for dozens of sports betting publications and served in myriad roles with sports companies such as The33rdTeam, BetUS, and SportsWagers.ca. I also won in Circa Millions again, achieving 1st place in last year’s third quarter contest ($150k). I have my own podcast, Laying the Points with FarleyBets, which I will resume in the 2025 NFL season. All of my records and plays have been shared transparently, where I’ve accrued 113 units in the NFL and 100 units in the NBA over four seasons, and I continue to contribute my betting thoughts/picks on Substack.