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Last updated Oct 31, 6:44 AM EDT
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (517) Los Angeles Lakers at (518) Memphis Grizzlies | 9:40pm EDT - Oct 31/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 233.5 (-110)
This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER in the Lakers and the Grizzlies.
When you dive into the numbers/records/stats, we find that this is an interesting game from a number of different angles.
Both teams are 3-2 straight up. LA is 3-2 ATS overall, including 2-0 SU and ATS on the road, while Memphis is 2-1 SU and ATS at home.
The Lakers have also seen the total go OVER in all five of their games, while the Grizzlies have seen the total eclipse the number in three of their first five, but it stayed UNDER in their most recent 114-113 win at Phoenix.
LA has been playing well, obviously, as most thought that chemistry could be an issue to begin the season without LeBron James and now Luka Doncic in the lineup, but off a 116-115 win at Minnesota as a 7.5-point underdog, their second win of the year over the Wolves, the Lakers have clearly exceeded everyone's expectations to this point.
Austin Reaves has been the catalyst behind the above-average record to open the year. He most recently had 28 points and 16 assists in the win over Minnesota. So far, he's averaging 34.2 points and 10 assists per game.
At some point, though, Reaves is going to have a letdown. It'll be a combination of teams keying in on the Lakers' red-hot swingman, and double-teaming him, combined with natural small regression across the board after the unrealistic surge.
With a home game against Miami on Sunday night, will LA Reaves and the Lakers finally have a small mental letdown here?
Very possibly is the answer! That said, I still don't trust the Grizzlies to cover the mid-sized number either, and so that's why I'm keying in on the total.
The Grizz return home after the tight road win at Phoenix, and have a look-ahead game North of the border in Toronto on Sunday night.
Ja Morant had 28 points, seven assists, and eight rebounds in the victory over Phoenix, and overall, he's averaging 23.4 points per game this year for the Grizz.
I base my picks on many different things, but for the most part, I base my Over/Under releases (in every sport) on what I perceive to be a really good situation.
And that's the case here, a great overall situational play, as I foresee all of these factors contributing to help keep the overall pace down and for that to ultimately drive this total UNDER the posted number before the final horn sounds.
Good luck, NP
Consultant Bio
Veteran handicapper Nick Parsons has been involved in the industry both as one of the World's leading sports prognosticating experts (in every major sport over the course of the last 20 years!), and he's also worked behind the scenes with some of the biggest companies and players in the market as well.
A "contrarian" at heart, Nick has always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid, and long term. Parsons doesn't limit himself to any sort of bet, or style of wagering. If he sees value in a pick, whether it's an underdog or a favorite, then he plays it. His succinct and no "B.S." approach, while also always being fully accountable, is what his growing list of satisfied clients has grown to appreciate the most.
Nick's been in the trenches fighting the books every single day for the last 20 years. He's never once pretended that any part of this industry is "easy." It's not. But you can put his invaluable experience to work for you, as 2023 and 2024 have massive potential for this industry icon!