David Hess has a huge CBB total locked and ready for tonight, and he’s making it available for just $7.00. He’s been reading these numbers sharply, and this matchup stood out above the rest. If you want a low‑cost, high‑confidence play, this is the one to grab.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (877) NC State at (878) Louisville: Spread | 7:00pm EST - Feb 9/2026 |
The PLAY: Louisville -6.5 (-110)
Louisville has been the more trustworthy, more consistent side in this matchup, and the numbers inside ACC play back up laying the points. They’ve covered 8 of the last 10 in this series, and this version of Louisville has a clear efficiency edge on both ends. The Cards are scoring 79.4 ppg in conference play with the No. 2 two‑point percentage (58.8%), the No. 1 assist rate, and one of the best rebounding profiles in the league. NC State can shoot it, but they’re extremely perimeter‑dependent—10.7 made threes per game in ACC play—and Louisville’s length on the wings has been a real problem for teams that rely on jump shooting. Defensively, Louisville has been better than they get credit for, holding ACC opponents to 73.4 ppg on 42.4% shooting, while NC State’s defense has been far more vulnerable, giving up 72.8 ppg and ranking near the bottom of the league in three‑point defense. Add in Louisville’s superior interior scoring, their rebounding edge, and their strong ATS history in this matchup, and the matchup leans toward the Cards controlling this one and covering ‑6.5.