Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Betting Preview
The Braves and Phillies are set for a NLDS matchup and are very familiar with each other as both come out of the NL East. The Braves won 11 of the 19 matchups these two played against each other in the regular season with Philadelphia coming off a solid upset of the Cardinals in the wildcard round, winning two straight games at Busch Stadium. Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly gives his Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies NLDS Game 1 betting preview.
| Tuesday, October 11 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Atlanta Braves -205 vs Philadelphia Phillies +170 |
| Runline: | Braves -1.5 (+115) / Phillies +1.5 (-135) |
| Total: | 6.5 Runs (Over -125 / Under +105) |
| Game Time: | 1:07pm ET / 10:07am PT |
| Where: | Truist Park in Atlanta, GA |
| Weather: | 70 Degrees / Clear |
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Analysis
On Tuesday afternoon, the Phillies and the Braves face off for the first game of the National League Divisional Series.
As the No. 2 seed, the Braves had a bye in the first round and the Phillies defeated the Cardinals on the road in back-to-back games.
Atlanta won the regular season series 11-8 and this will be a fantastic series. The Braves are -205 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 6.5 runs.
Phillies Flying High in Underdog Role
The Phillies were the No. 6 seed in the NL playoffs and they won the Wild Card round in convincing fashion. The Phillies have a great starting pitching staff and a strong lineup, so they will be hard to eliminate even as underdogs.
Their bullpen is not great, but if their starters can go 7+ innings and their offense can score runs, I can see the Phillies beating the Braves.
Lefty Ranger Suarez will make the start for the Phillies tonight on the road. Suarez has started against the Braves five times in the regular season and he was very impressive down the stretch of 2022.
On the road this season, Suarez has a 3.20 ERA, a .231 batting average against, a 3.77 FIP, and a 1.20 WHIP. The Phillies are 9-7 in Suarez’s road starts this season, but the Phillies are 0-6 in his last six road starts. This will be an intriguing matchup as Suarez has been great at times but also shaky at times.
Fried Ready To Fire Away
The Braves won the NL East in improbable fashion and they were able to secure a bye in the first round of the playoffs.
Atlanta was 3-2 in their last five games and had six days of rest before this matchup. This team should be rocking and rolling at home to start their playoff run.
Lefty Max Fried will make the start for the Braves tonight at home against their NL East rivals. Fried pitched against the Phillies four times this season and he dominated them the last two times he faced the Phillies.
At home this season, Fried has a 2.42 ERA, a .237 batting average against, a .342 slugging percentage against, a 3.04 FIP, and a 1.11 WHIP. The Braves went 13-5 in Fried’s road starts this season.
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies finished the regular season with the 4th best OPS against lefties and the 9th best OPS on the road. I believe the Phillies will make this a game against the Braves.
This team has all the momentum and they have nothing to lose, so I expect the Phillies to cover 1.5 runs in this matchup to open the NLDS.
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 -135
Interested in placing a bet on the Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 NLDS matchup? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 risk-free bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
**************************************************
Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
